A recent poll found that a significant portion of both Democratic-leaning and Republican-leaning voters would prefer their party nominate an alternate to President Joe Biden, or former President Donald Trump, for the 2024 presidential election.
In a CNN/SSRS poll published over the weekendOnly 45 percent of Democratic-leaning voters want President Joe Biden running again in 2024, and 51 percent want to see someone else win.
Of those who said that they don’t want Biden to run again, 31 percent said they don’t want him to get reelected, while 35 percent said they don’t believe he can defeat a Republican in the general election contest.
Former President Donald Trump didn’t fare much better – just 50 percent of the poll’s Republican-leaning respondents said they want Trump to be the GOP nominee in 2024, while a near-equal number (49 percent) said they wanted someone else. Thirty-nine percent of those who said they don’t want him to be the party’s nominee said they don’t want Trump to get elected, while 22 percent said they don’t believe he would be able to defeat a Democratic opponent.
Democratic-leaning voters had a harder job than Republican-leaning votes when asked to name a candidate they’d like their party to nominate to run for the 2024 presidential election. Only 25% of Democrats who wanted Biden to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race could name a candidate they preferred. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I – Vermont) was the most popular, but only 5 percent of those polled supported him. Former first lady Michelle Obama had 4 percent support for a presidential campaign.
Meanwhile, a significant number of Republican-leaning voters seem to be in agreement over potential candidates that could run if Trump doesn’t. Among the Republicans who said Trump shouldn’t run in 2024, 38 percent listed a specific person that they wanted to run instead. More than 1 in 5 voters (21 percent) who didn’t want Trump to run said that Florida Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis should be the party’s nominee in 2024. Second to him was Trump’s eldest son, Donald Trump Jr., who had only 1 percent support among Republicans who didn’t want Trump to run.
The poll’s data suggestsBoth Trump and Biden are likely to win the nominations for respective parties. However, the two might have a more difficult time becoming their parties’ nominees than they did in 2020.
Both Trump and Biden have seen significant drops in their favorability ratingsAs of late. But voters’ disapproval of Biden’s job performance doesn’t necessarily indicate that they preferred the Trump presidency, said Marquette Law School polling director Charles Franklin.
“No nostalgia for the Trump years is a good way of putting it,” Franklin said.
When poll respondents were asked about a rematch of Trump and Biden, Biden fared 10 points better than Trump43 percent of respondents said they would vote in favor of the current president, while only 33 percent said they would support the former.
While Trump’s endorsement still holds massive influence in key GOP races, analysts have noted that Trump appears to be losing his firm grip on the Republican Party. Several members of the party have condemned the former president’s actions in recent weeks, including Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Kentucky) and Trump’s former Vice President Mike Pence.
Trump has repeatedly claimed that Pence was able to reverse the results of the 2020 presidential elections. But in a recent speech about the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol building, Pence debunked the former president’s assertions.
“President Trump is wrong,” Pence said earlier this month. “I had no right to overturn the election.”
Republicans who have been condemning Trump’s rhetoric about the Capitol attack may be doing so strategically, as polling shows that most voters view the events of January 6 in a negative light. Indeed, A recent poll showed that 72 percent of voters supported the election. ABC News/Ipsos poll saidA mob of Trump loyalists broke into the U.S. Capitol building and threatened democracy. Trump has continually defended his loyalists’ actions and has Even suggested that he would pardon them, if he won the presidency againThose statements are likely to strengthen his base of support but alienate the majority of voters.
