New Poll Shows 6 in 10 Voters Don’t Want Trump to Run in 2024

A new poll found that 61% of American voters don’t want Donald Trump running for president for the third time in a row.

Trump has all but officially declared himself a candidate for the 2024 presidential election, alluding to a run at rallies and posting polling data on his Truth Social website that suggests he’s planning to run again. Many commentators have predicted that he will announceAnother presidential run is possible in the fall.

However, according to an NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist pollThis poll was taken from August 29 through September 1. Only 33% of registered voters in America believe Trump should run again. Only 61% disagree.

When asked whether Trump should run if he ends up being charged with a crime — a question alluding to His improper removal from the White House of classified documents after leaving office — 65 percent of registered voters said he shouldn’t run, while 27 percent said he should.

A majority of the poll’s respondents believe Trump’s actions were wrong, though some differ on whether or not removing the documents constituted a crime. 45% of registered voters thought keeping classified documents at Mar-a-Lago unlawful, while 17% said it was ethical but not illegal. Only 30% said Trump did not do anything wrong.

Notably, some of the poll’s respondents were asked the question before details and images of what Trump had stored at Mar-a-Lago were made public, as that information was reported on while the poll was still being conducted. An Economist/YouGov poll that was conducted shortly after that information was releasedThe results show that only half of the country had seen images while the NPR/PBSNewsHour/Marist poll was gathering data.

While polling indicates that Trump would lose the general elections if he runs in 2024, the former president has been misleading polling data on Truth Social that suggests he would win.

Trump recently posted a USA Today/Ipsos Poll from the end of last month but only includedData showing that 6/10 GOP voters want him to be their nominee for 2024. He omitted data from the same poll that showed that 51 percent of Americans overallSee him in a negative light.

Trump also shared a survey by Richard Baris (director of the Big Data Poll), who often shares his findings via the Twitter account @Peoples_Pundit. According to that pollIn a hypothetical rematch, Trump leads President Joe Biden by almost five points.

The Big Data Poll cannot be considered reliable. FiveThirtyEight has banned it from being shared on its site. Though it doesn’t go into details why, data from The Big Data Poll that FiveThirtyEight gathered indicates that the organization only correctly picks winners in one out of every four races it watches.

FiveThirtyEight explains why it bans certain pollsIn a general statement about a different section of its website:

Any pollster found falsifying data, or exploiting betting markets will be permanently banned. This is based on information about how their survey might impact these markets. We reserve the right not to sponsor polls that are dishonest or opaque beyond what is editorialized.

Another poll that compares Trump to Biden shows that Biden is more popular with voters. A recent Wall Street Journal For example, poll shows Biden ahead of Trump by six points.