Boris Johnson, the Prime Minister, is scheduled to attend crunch discussions in Belfast today ahead plans to scrap large sections of the Northern Ireland Protocol.
Delivering a “tough message” in private meetings on his first visit to Belfast since the Assembly elections, Johnson is expected say that – while the UK government will “play its part to ensure political stability” – any action to fix the Protocol must result in all parties coming together to form and Executive and Assembly.
Drawing on his time as Mayor of London, Johnson will say that there is “no substitute for strong local leadership”. Legislators must “get back to work” so that they can deal with the “bread and butter issues” like supporting families with the cost of living, cutting Covid backlogs and fighting crime.
The PM will update party leaders on the UK Government’s discussions with EU leaders over recent days, in which the EU have confirmed that they will never change their current negotiating mandate.
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He will tell party leaders “that we will always keep the door open to genuine dialogue” however “there will be a necessity to act” and protect the Belfast (Good Friday) Agreement if the EU does not change its position.
The PM will say that the government has never recommended scrapping the Protocol. There will always have to be a treaty governing the UK’s relationship with the EU in respect of Northern Ireland in order to prevent a hard border on the island of Ireland and protect the integrity of the EU single market.
Johnson will insist on the need to reform the Protocol so that it achieves its initial objectives to safeguard the Belfast (Good Friday) Agreement in all of its dimensions.
He will say that there is “no disguising the fact” that the delicate balance of the Agreement has been upset by the Protocol, because one strand of the Agreement (North-South) has taken precedent over another (East-West).
Johnson will argue that this undermines the text of the Agreement, which makes clear that all strands are of “interlocking and of equal importance”. It has damaged the historic economic links that connect Great Britain and Northern Ireland. This has led to the Unionist community feeling threatened about its identity and aspirations.
The UK and EU’s “shared objective” should be for a reformed Protocol to enjoy “the broadest possible cross-community support” when it faces a consent vote in 2024, he will say.
In an article published in the Belfast Telegraph ahead of his visit, Johnson says the Protocol row is limiting Westminster’s ability to help ease the cost-of-living crisis, and that a UK-wide VAT cut on renewable has not been possible because of it.
He cited Covid and the Russian invasion of Ukraine as responsible for ” a cost-of-living crisis on a scale not seen for half a century”, which the Protocol, negotiated back in 2019, was not equipped to manage.
Tomorrow, Liz Truss (foreign secretary) will announce legislation to unilaterally cancel large swathes the post-Brexit deal amid fears it could lead to a trade war EU-UK.
Home Office minister Rachel Maclean told Sky News this morning that Truss’ plans did not risk breaching international law, stressing: “Of course there are always going to be measures that have to be negotiated and I think that is the point of a negotiation with our European partners.
She went on: “This has been going on at pace with officials, with our interlocutors on the European side and as far as the subsequent actions that are going to be taken, a lot of it is speculation. But of course the UK is a country that always lives up to its international legal obligations and we will continue to do that.”