As we reach the one-year anniversary on Thursday of President Joe Biden’s inauguration, Gallup brought some bad polling news for the Democrats.
Over 2021, Gallup found “a dramatic shift” in party identification in their surveys, “from a nine-percentage-point Democratic advantage in the first quarter (49% to 40%) to a rare five-point Republican edge in the fourth quarter (47% to 42%).”
Underline the “rare” Republican edge. Gallup notes that this has been true in only four quarters since 1991.
“The Republicans last held a five-point advantage in party identification and leaning in early 1995, after winning control of the House of Representatives for the first time since the 1950s,” Gallup reported.
Only in the first quarter 1991, after President George H.W. Bush’s victory in the Persian Gulf War, did the GOP have a larger advantage. Bush—and that obviously didn’t last.
How could these numbers be possible despite all the media coverage?
This shift in public opinion is in stark contrast to the media’s robotic repetition that the Republicans are dominated and doomed by an attachment to Donald Trump.
How has the GOP gained momentum under this constant drumbeat of how it’s somehow crumbling to pieces?
Take a look at Virginia in 2021, where the Democrats ran against political newcomer Glenn Youngkin with a never-ending onslaught of commercials and messaging that was all “Trump this” and “Trump that.”
None of it worked. Youngkin won.
Youngkin demonstrated an ability to negotiate around The Washington Post and other reporters, and win over Republicans, regardless of their Trump takes, not to mention independent voters who act rebelliously like Trump is yesterday’s news.
In 2015, Trump received huge amounts of airtime from all the liberal networks in the hope that he would take down the Republican Party in 2016. When that didn’t work, they suggested Trump’s election was fraudulent, due to Russian collusion with the Trump campaign.
Now they look as cognitively rattled as Brian Stelter, who expresses happiness that Trump’s rally didn’t air live on Fox News … but then the rally is energetically discussed for days afterward on CNN.
If they are so scared of Trump running again in 2024 one might think that liberal journalists will ignore Trump and instead promote traditional Republicans.
But they’re allergic to promoting Republicans, unless their Trump messaging sounds exactly like liberal journalists (i.e., Reps. Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger).
They are still betting the best strategy for a pro-Biden press is to beat the drum endlessly that Trump has an asphyxiating stranglehold on the GOP—and imply that the Republicans are so “restrictive” on voting rights that regaining their majorities must be considered the antonym of democracy.
This helps them avoid discussing the fractures among the Democrats, and the great upset on the left that Biden can’t accomplish any of their extreme proposals to spend trillions of dollars and destroy voter-ID requirements.
It’s so bad that Paul Begala said out loud on CNN, “I think the problem for the Democrats right now is not that they have bad leaders. They have bad followers, OK?”
The media elites are not “bad followers.” They want to help Biden succeed. The problem for the media-Democrat complex is that all of these failures on COVID and border control and inflation and Afghanistan can’t be spun as good news, even if they try.
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