Boris News – No Confidence Vote

  • Though the PM has obtained some backing from Conservative MPs since he was issued with a set penalty discover, it will be unwise to learn an excessive amount of into these feedback. As we’ve up to date our listing, assist for the PM is seen to have come virtually completely from those that have been already listed as ‘possible supporters’ or ‘public backers’ of the PM. The close to whole silence from these within the different 4 classes, suggests the underlying place for the PM stays perilous.
  • Previous to the conflict in Ukraine, and earlier than Boris Johnson was issued a positive by the police, there already seemed to be sufficient MPs hostile to the prime minister to provoke a vote of no confidence, in accordance with an evaluation by Politics.co.uk.
  • At that time, primarily based on an evaluation of their public feedback, the variety of ‘downside’ Conservative MPs for Johnson appeared greater than beforehand reported. We positioned the variety of downside MPs as between 100-140. Little greater than half of these listed as ‘at present mendacity low’ would have then wanted to show in opposition to the PM for him to be faraway from put up.
  • With the opportunity of extra fines to come back, the upcoming full publication of the Grey report, and the potential for some bumpy native election outcomes, we shall be updating our evaluation of the ‘parliamentary citizens’ all through the spring.

Letters of ‘no confidence’ are required from 54 Conservative MPs so as provoke a proper management contest.   In concept, 180 MPs from the overall of 359 that at present have the Conservative whip would then must vote in opposition to the prime minister for him to be faraway from workplace.

Block 1 – Brazenly referred to as for the PM to go

Aldous, Peter [Openly called for the PM to go]
Suffolk MP. Confirmed he has despatched in a letter calling for a management contest, tweeting that it was clear that Boris Johnson had ‘no intention’ of resigning voluntarily.

Bell, Aaron [Openly called for the PM to go]
Crimson Wall MP from Newcastle underneath Lyme who criticized the prime minister within the Commons, and who has confirmed he has submitted a letter of no confidence.  He commented: “As somebody who backed Brexit and backed Boris Johnson for the management in 2019, I’m profoundly upset that it has come to this.”

Bowie, Andrew [Openly called for the PM to go]
Scottish MP for West Aberdeen and Kincardine who was as soon as PPS to Theresa Could.  Backed Boris Johnson within the eventual 2019 management election and was a Conservative occasion vice chair till 2021. Nonetheless, he has fallen in with the Scottish conservatives in Holyrood (27 of the 31 Conservative MSPs) who’ve come out in opposition to Boris Johnson, telling the BBC in January: “I feel the prime minister must be contemplating his place”. His marginal Aberdeen West seat could be comfortably misplaced to the SNP on the idea of present polling.  It’s not clear if he has but formally submitted a letter.


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Bridgen, Andrew [Openly called for the PM to go]
Outspoken Brexiteer from North West Leicestershire.  Beforehand put in a letter of no confidence in Theresa Could, and has confirmed to have performed so already on Boris Johnson.  Has claimed there’s now a ‘ethical vacuum’ on the coronary heart of presidency. Though has mentioned, the midst of the Ukraine conflict was not the time to take away the PM, we assume he’ll nonetheless be hostile in the end.

Davis, David [Openly called for the PM to go]
Veteran Conservative MP and former cupboard minister.  Known as on Boris Johnson to “within the title of God, go”, within the Home of Commons in January. It’s not clear if he has formally submitted a letter.

Ellwood, Tobias [Openly called for the PM to go]
Former defence minister and present chair of the defence choose committee who just isn’t shy to criticize the federal government, not too long ago attacking rushed coverage bulletins from No 10.  Described the row over events as “horrible to defend”, and has confirmed that he has despatched a letter to the 1922 committee.  Reaffirmed his perception that the PM ought to go after Boris was fined by the police. In important hazard of shedding his as soon as protected Bournemouth East seat to Labour in any basic election that mirrored the present opinion polls.

Gale, Sir Roger  [Openly called for the PM to go]
Veteran MP representing the cities of Herne Bay and Margate on the Kent coast.  He’s a very long-standing critic of Boris Johnson. Has recommended the PM has misled the Home of Commons. Though he has mentioned the conflict in Ukraine means it’s not the time to take away the PM, he was beforehand amongst the primary to submit a letter of no confidence within the prime minister, and instructed BBC Radio 4, that the PM is a “useless man strolling”.

Gibb, Nick [Openly called for the PM to go]
Former lengthy standing junior schooling minister from Bognor Regis. He was faraway from the federal government by Boris Johnson in 2021. Confirmed he had despatched a letter to the 1922 committee. He had beforehand written within the Telegraph that: “We have to withstand laborious truths. To revive belief, we have to change the prime minister”.

Mills, Nigel [Openly called for the PM to go]
Brexiteer who represents Amber Valley in Derbyshire.  He backed Boris within the 2019 management contest, however has been quoted as saying that he didn’t suppose anybody concerned with the events can keep in any place the place they’re setting Covid coverage’. Early within the yr instructed the BBC that, if Johnson, ‘knowingly attended what he knew to be a celebration, then he can’t survive that’. Following the information that the prime minister and chancellor had obtained fines, Mills turned the primary Conservative MP to publicly declare Johnson’s management shouldn’t survive. He instructed BBC Radio Derby that: “In all conscience I don’t suppose a main minister can survive or ought to survive breaking the principles he put in place and he was on the TV each few nights reminding us all that we should always observe.”, including, “We now have to have greater requirements than that of individuals on the high. He has been fined, I don’t suppose his place is tenable”.

Loughton, Tim [Openly called for the PM to go]
Former junior minister who backed Boris within the 2019 management election. Nonetheless, he now claims to be “very indignant” and has submitted a letter to the 1922 committee. Has described his considering as not regarding what number of sausage rolls or glasses of Prosecco the prime minister had, however “the best way that he has dealt with the mounting revelations in the previous few weeks”. Would comfortably lose his more and more extra marginal East Worthing and Shoreham seat to Labour in a basic election held on the idea of present opinion polls.

Mangnall, Anthony [Openly called for the PM to go]
Devon MP and former researcher to William Hague who confirmed that he had despatched a letter to the 1922 committee quickly after the Grey report was printed.  Argues that the PM’s “actions and mistruths” are overshadowing the extraordinary work of so many wonderful ministers and colleagues”.

Mitchell, Andrew [Openly called for the PM to go]
Former cupboard minister who as soon as resigned over his personal ‘plebgate’ affair in Downing Road. Informed the prime minister within the Home of Commons chamber that he not enjoys his assist. He has not confirmed whether or not he but despatched a letter.

Nokes, Caroline [Openly called for the PM to go]
Remainer from Hampshire who briefly misplaced the Conservative whip again in 2019 over Brexit. She is chair of the ladies and equalities choose committee. She additionally not too long ago made allegations in opposition to the prime minister’s father. Has confirmed that she has submitted a letter to the 1922 committee, arguing that it’s as much as the occasion to determine whether or not Boris Johnson goes now or at a basic election in three years time.

Ross, Douglas [Openly called for the PM to go]
Chief of the Scottish Conservatives who publicly referred to as for Johnson to resign on the again of the PM admitting that he attended the Downing Road gathering in Could 2020. Claimed the PM’s place is “not tenable”, and confirmed that he has despatched a letter of no confidence. Following the outbreak of conflict in Ukraine, Mr Ross publicly retracted his name for Boris Johnson to resign. It does although stay to be seen, what method Mr Ross will select to take subsequent. Given his earlier public statements, we proceed to treat him as probably hostile within the medium time period.

Streeter, Gary [Openly called for the PM to go]
Veteran MP from Devon. Evangelical Christian who sits on the left of the Conservative occasion. Has written a letter to the 1922 committee saying he couldn’t “reconcile” the ache and sacrifice of the overwhelming majority of the British public throughout lockdown with the angle and actions of these working in Downing Road.

Whittaker, Craig [Openly called for the PM to go]
Conservative MP for Calder Valley, elected in 2010, however would comfortably lose his seat if a basic election was held on the again of present opinion ballot numbers. Initially described the partygate allegations as ‘horrendous’ however issued an announcement to say that Mr Johnson retained his assist. Nonetheless the day after the police issued fines to each Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak, he instructed a Fb “Q and A” that he thought the pair ought to each do the ‘proper factor’ and resign. He did although say he wouldn’t be writing an precise letter of no confidence. 

Wragg, William [Openly called for the PM to go]
Chair of the Commons public administration choose committee and an MP from the north west of England. Has complained in regards to the techniques utilized by authorities whips. Would lose his Hazel Grove seat to the Lib Dems in any election primarily based on present opinion ballot numbers. He has confirmed that he has submitted a letter of no confidence within the PM.

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Block 2 – Thought of Hostile

Anderson, Lee [Considered hostile]
Crimson Wall MP from Nottinghamshire. Gained Ashfield in 2019 however who would comfortably lose the seat in an election held on the idea of in the present day’s opinion polling. Former miner and Labour councillor, who solely joined the Conservatives in 2018. Shares a Commons workplace with Alicia Kearns, the MP for Rutland, who the media counsel is the ring chief of the so referred to as ‘pork pie plot’ of MPs elected in 2019. Anderson not too long ago did an interview with Andrew Neill suggesting that the Conservatives may lose some 5 million purple wall voters. Has not too long ago written on Fb that: “Personally, I’d not again anybody who has knowingly performed fallacious.” He has additionally mentioned that he’ll submit a letter of no-confidence if Boris “misplaced the belief of the nation”

Baker, Duncan [Considered hostile]
Former UKIP member elected for North Norfolk in 2019. Echoed Diane Abbott’s query within the Home of Commons when asking Johnson in regards to the Grey report. Has refused to touch upon whether or not he has despatched a letter to the 1922 committee or not, however has mentioned of the PM within the Jap Day by day Press, that: “There are a large number of inquiries to reply, and whereas they grasp over us, his tenure is questionable”.

Baldwin, Harriet [Considered hostile]
The MP for West Worcestershire. A former minister who was sacked by Boris Johnson as quickly as he turned PM in 2019. Supported Jeremy Hunt quite than Johnson within the 2019 management election. Has beforehand instructed Bloomberg, that if the official report finds that the prime minister has lied to parliament, then that may be a “purple line” for her.

Bottomley, Sir Peter [Considered hostile]
Longest serving MP, who has traditionally been very independently minded. Has reportedly refused to supply the prime minister his full assist. Has sat on the surface left of the Conservative occasion for many of his time in parliament.  Backed Jeremy Hunt quite than Boris Johnson within the 2019 contest. Appeared sad over the Owen Patterson affair again in November 2019.

Bradley, Karen [Considered hostile]
Cupboard minister underneath Theresa Could, however dismissed by Boris Johnson as quickly as he turned PM in 2019. Backed Michael Gove quite than Boris Johnson within the 2019 contest.  In response to a report within the Solar newspaper in December, Bradley was mentioned to be concerned in a ‘plot’ with different MPs hostile to Johnson. Following the issuing of fastened penalty notices to the PM and Chancellor she instructed ‘Staffordshire Reside’ that she would herslef have resigned if she had damaged the principles that she had handed. She added, “I’ll spend the following few days consulting my constituents and can determine on what motion to take after listening to them”. Requested beforehand if she would write a letter calling for a no confidence vote within the prime minister, she offered a lukewarm response to Instances Radio, saying: “Let’s wait and see what occurs”.

Brine, Steve [Considered hostile]
Remainer from whom Johnson eliminated the Conservative whip again in 2019. Backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 management content material. Would simply lose his Winchester seat to the Liberal Democrats primarily based on present polling.  Has described the Sue Grey findings as an ’embarrassment’. Chatting with the Hampshire Chronicle, Brine was reported as saying: “I by no means focus on non-public correspondence however I’ve at all times thought self-awareness is a a lot under-valued high quality in a pacesetter and shall be making that time this week”.

Buckland, Robert [Considered hostile]
Supported Boris Johnson within the 2019 contest, and sat as a cupboard minister between 2019 and 2021. He has since been dismissed by Boris. Previous to turning into an MP, he served as a decide sitting on the Midlands circuit. He’s positioned on the left of the Conservative occasion. Would comfortably lose his Swindon South seat to Labour primarily based on present opinion polling. Made a veiled assault on Johnson within the Commons after the Grey report, saying: “Will he give me and the Home this endeavor in the present day, that in co-operating with the Metropolitan Police inquiry, he’ll present the suitable tone and method that I feel the British public demand of him, and that as an individual of significant function, who’s as much as the extent of occasions, that’s what they count on from you now, and that’s what I shall be anticipating him to do?”

Clarke, Greg [Considered hostile]
Remainer and former cupboard minister underneath David Cameron and Theresa Could. He’s the present chair of the science and know-how choose committee. Left the cupboard instantly in 2019, when Boris Johnson turned PM.   Subsequently had the Conservative whip eliminated by Boris over Brexit. His Tunbridge Wells seat just isn’t completely out of the attain of the Lib Dems. As but, doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future, however laborious to envisage him supporting Boris Johnson in a management poll.

Clifton-Brown, Geoffrey [Considered hostile]
Tory grandee who’s treasurer of the 1922 committee. Thought to be one thing of a protracted standing critic of Boris. Was quoted in December as saying that until the PM’s efficiency improved, “some members of the occasion shall be considering we’ve received to have a change”.  Media experiences have additionally recommended there are hyperlinks between the so referred to as ‘pork pie’ plot of Tory MPs elected in 2019 and a capturing occasion held by the APPG on Taking pictures and Conservation, itself chaired by Sir Geoffrey.

Colburn, Elliot [Considered hostile]
Younger MP from south west London who was elected in 2019.  He would comfortably lose his Carshalton and Wallington seat to the Lib Dems in any election that mirrored the present opinion polls. The Guardian reported that his endurance has snapped with the PM, and that he had instructed a constituent, that “If I have been the PM, I’d be contemplating my place”.

Crabb, Stephen [Considered hostile]
Welsh MP and former cupboard minister on the left of the occasion. He’s chair of the Welsh affairs choose committee. Backed Sajid Javid in 2019. He faces an unsure future after constituency boundary modifications have in impact abolished his previous seat. In response to Wales On-line, he’s reported as having written to a constituent, saying of the PM: “Whereas he might not have attended a few of the gatherings being reported, he does have a particular duty in setting the tradition and requirements on the coronary heart of presidency. He was proper to apologise this week, however this will not be a ample response given the seriousness of those issues.” He has additionally attacked the PM’s feedback in relation to Jimmy Saville describing them as “ill-judged and never befitting of a main minister.”

Davison, Dehenna [Considered hostile]
Younger Conservative MP from Durham with a really giant social media following.  She gained Bishop Auckland by an enormous majority for the Conservatives in 2019, however would now lose her seat to Labour if a future basic election mirrored present opinion polling.  Reported as saying she was “extremely indignant” in regards to the Downing Road events and the prime minister’s response. She has been named within the media as a possible ring chief within the so referred to as ‘pork pie plot’ of MPs from the 2019 consumption, who’re believed to be hostile to Boris remaining in No.10.

Doyle-Value, Jackie [Considered hostile]
Essex MP for Thurrock. Former junior minister, who left the federal government as quickly as Boris Johnson entered Downing Road.  Usually reported within the media as being hostile to the PM. Laborious to think about her supporting Boris in any management election.

Drummond, Flick [Considered hostile]
Former Ofsted inspector. Was beforehand defeated in Portsmouth, however later returned for the safer Hampshire seat of Meon Valley in 2019.  Remainer who’s now vice chair of the Conservative European Discussion board.  She sits on the physique with different figures whom are deemed hostile to the PM, corresponding to Stephen Hammond and the previous MP Dominic Grieve. She has mentioned she’s going to wait to see the outcomes of the inquiry and police investigations earlier than commenting additional, however pointedly instructed the Hampshire Chronicle that: “I’m very upset to listen to the prime minister admit he went to an occasion with drinks within the backyard at Downing Road in the course of the first lockdown”.

Fell, Simon [Considered hostile]
Crimson Wall MP for Barrow and Furness in Cumbria. Would comfortably lose his seat to Labour primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges. Was initially quiet on partygate however has not too long ago mentioned that it was unacceptable that these making the principles have been “not following them”.  Has been linked within the media to the ‘pork pie’ plotters – a gaggle of MPs elected in 2019 who’re mentioned to be hostile to Johnson. In public statements has recommended {that a} “belated apology is skinny gruel to his constituents”. In response to his native ‘Mail’ paper, he has mentioned that till the total report or the findings of the Met investigation are accomplished, it’s “laborious to attract an additional conclusion” saying that “we’d like information to make selections and act”.

Garnier, Mark [Considered hostile]
Backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election. Writing in a weekly column, described the Grey Report as “not good studying” however with out seeing the total report added that, “so, removed from having the ability to judge what has been occurring, we aren’t any additional than we have been earlier than the interim replace was printed”. Nonetheless, extra tellingly he was ready to inform BBC Midlands Reside that: “we’re on a little bit of a glide slope to Johnson’s departure”.

Ghani, Nusrat [Considered hostile]
Former transport minister who was sacked from the federal government in 2020. Suggesting her Islamic religion was a difficulty for her dismissal, she then turned embroiled in a public dispute with the previous chief whip over the associated circumstances. She supported Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election. The Day by day Mail has recommended that Ghani is ‘recognized’ to have already submitted a letter of no confidence.

Graham, Richard [Considered hostile]
The MP for Gloucester, who would narrowly lose his seat if a basic election mirrored present opinion ballot ranges.  He backed Jeremy Hunt quite than Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election. Has issued an announcement by which he described the Downing Road gatherings as ‘unlawful’, saying: “I need each prime minister to do his or her finest for our nation: and in that sense, all of them, no matter which political occasion they arrive from, have my assist, however not at any worth or underneath all circumstances”. Beforehand mentioned he would await the findings of the Grey report, including ominously: “There are steps that each MP can take to result in change. I don’t rule out any of them in that state of affairs.”

Inexperienced, Chris  [Considered hostile]
Conservative MP for Bolton West who would narrowly lose his seat if a basic election mirrored the present opinion ballot place.  Brexiteer who backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 management contest. Has been publicly quiet of late, however in December after the preliminary partygate claims, when requested if he nonetheless had confidence within the PM, he was reportedly silent for a interval on BBC Radio Manchester earlier than saying: “I feel the silence does converse volumes”. This was earlier than the additional January occasion allegations emerged. He beforehand submitted a letter of no confidence in Theresa Could.

Hammond, Stephen [Considered hostile]
Conservative MP for Wimbledon in south west London with an extremely slim majority. Sits on the left of the occasion and was a supporter of Matt Hancock within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election. Staunch remainer who had the Conservative whip eliminated by Boris Johnson in 2019. In response to a report within the Solar newspaper in December, Hammond was mentioned to be concerned in a ‘plot’ with different MPs hostile to Johnson. Very laborious to think about him supporting Boris Johnson in any confidence vote.

Harper, Mark [Considered hostile]
Former authorities chief whip, and one time management opponent to Boris Johnson in 2019.  He retains political ambitions. Has been persistently very important of the Johnson authorities for the degrees of its Covid restrictions. He has not been supportive over partygate describing the assorted claims as ‘severe allegations’ and that he awaited the PM’s explanations with ‘curiosity’. Talking within the Commons over the Grey report he mentioned, “Many have questioned, together with a few of my constituents, the prime minister’s honesty and integrity and health to carry that workplace.”

Higginbotham, Antony [Considered hostile]
Crimson Wall MP for Burnley. Would comfortably lose his seat to Labour in any basic election that displays the present opinion polls. Has been linked to the ‘pork pie’ plot of Conservative MPs elected in 2019, having written on Fb, that: “I’m as indignant and upset as you’re”.

Hoare, Simon [Considered hostile]
Dorset MP, and member of the Tory Reform Group on the left of the Conservative occasion.  Supported Sajid Javid within the 2019 Conservative management election. Has described how he has had over 1,400 emails round partygate. Informed the Bournemouth Echo that: “I’m very involved about what it’s doing to the standing of parliament and to the standing of presidency not simply at dwelling however overseas as nicely”. Persevering with he mentioned: “These are very severe issues and I feel there’s a hell of loads of harm that is happening and I’m very depressed and really apprehensive about all of it”. Referring to submitting a letter of no confidence, he mentioned: “It’s not a simple factor to do, but it surely’s one thing that I haven’t dominated out.”

Howell, John [Considered hostile]
Succeeded Boris Johnson because the MP for Henley, however has been important of Johnson previously. Remainer, and one time tax inspector, who backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 conservative management election. Has publicly mentioned he received’t be commenting in the course of the ongoing police investigation. Nonetheless in January he instructed the Henley Customary this was a ‘troublesome situation’, earlier than occurring to ‘reiterate’ how he didn’t vote for Johnson to be prime minister within the Tory management vote in 2019.  It’s subsequently laborious to think about him voting for Johnson in any future such contest.

Hunt, Jeremy [Considered hostile]
Former overseas secretary who was defeated by Johnson within the 2019 Conservative management election. He’s chair of the commons well being choose committee. He has, at instances, been important of the federal government via the covid disaster. Publicly has mentioned that he hopes that there’s not a management election, however has given no affirmation that he would assist the PM if there was one. As an alternative he commented in January, that his personal management ambitions haven’t fully vanished.

Hunt, Tom [Considered hostile]
MP for Ispwich, first elected in 2019. Former researcher to Oliver Dowden. Has been extremely important of the Downing Road occasion that occurred the night time earlier than Prince Philip’s funeral saying it stuffed him “with disgust”. Has reportedly had an in-person assembly with the PM over the matter. In response to the Guardian he has additionally criticised “cack-handed” backers of the prime minister, suggesting that they need to disable their social media platforms and stop finishing up media interviews.  He has mentioned a line can’t be drawn underneath the present saga until the total report is printed.  Would comfortably lose his seat to Labour in an election that mirrored present opinion polling ranges.

Jones, Andrew [Considered hostile]
Was a junior minister underneath Theresa Could, however misplaced his job when Boris Johnson turned prime minister. Remainer who backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 management election. His Harrogate constituency would see a knife edge battle with the Lib Dems at present opinion ballot ranges. Echoed Diane Abbott’s hostile query within the Home of Commons when asking the prime minister in regards to the Grey report.

Kearns, Alicia [Considered hostile]
First elected for Rutland and Melton in 2019. Formidable MP who has been reported within the media as being the ring chief behind the so referred to as ‘pork pie plot’ (named in relation to her constituency) of MPs elected in 2019 who’re hostile to the PM. Has been quoted in her native paper, the Melton Instances, as saying she feels “indignant” at the newest allegations.

Loder, Chris [Considered hostile]
Former prepare guard who labored his manner up within the railway business. Elected in 2019 for West Dorset. Reported to be a part of the so referred to as ‘pork pie’ plot of MPs elected in 2019 who’re thought-about hostile to the PM. Wrote in his native paper, the Bridport and Lyme Regis Information, that he was “deeply embarrassed and humiliated” by the revelations and that he was not satisfied that the “evolving narrative” from the prime minister is suitable.  Ominous on this context – his hobbies embrace bell ringing…..

Logan, Mark [Considered hostile]
Crimson Wall MP for Bolton North East with a majority of simply 378 votes.  Abstained on the vote to reform lobbying legal guidelines. In relation to the present difficulties, on Twitter he has mentioned: “Let’s not beat in regards to the bush. I, my constituents, this nation, count on extra”. Transferring via the social media world, on Fb he then commented, that the “prime minister units the tradition and instance for the remainder of the nation”. Within the media he been linked to the ‘pork pie’ plot of Conservative MPs elected in 2019.

Could, Theresa [Considered hostile]
Former prime minister.  Following the publication of the Grey Report, she was important of Johnson within the Commons. You solely have to look at this, and certainly another interactions between the pair, to conclude that there’s not a lot love misplaced right here.  It could appear extremely unlikely that she would assist the PM in a no confidence vote.

Merriman, Huw [Considered hostile]
Remainer from Bexhill on the Sussex coast, and one more choose committee chair (this time of transport), who appears to have points with the PM. Through the Brexit debate, he beforehand argued for a second referendum.  He backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election. This month he instructed the BBC Radio 4 At this time programme that he was “deeply troubled” by what was occurring and that if a main minister “doesn’t form up”, then “they need to ship out”.

Mullan, Kieran [Considered hostile]
Former police particular constable. Elected in 2019, however would comfortably lose his Crewe and Nantwich seat to Labour if an election was held on the again of present polling. Has been linked within the media with the so referred to as ‘pork pie’ plot of MPs elected in 2019, and his public feedback haven’t been notably supportive of the PM. Writing in his native newspaper column, he mentioned: “The truth that I haven’t mentioned he ought to resign doesn’t imply that I settle for or condone what has gone on, or that I agree that he ought to stick with it.  It means I need to take a choice with the total information”.

Poulter, Daniel [Considered hostile]
Suffolk MP and psychiatrist.  He has been quoted within the Guardian as saying, that though he was happy with the PM’s apology it was not a lot comfort to “these of us” who cared for sufferers on the frontline of the NHS. He has mentioned that, ought to the PM have been discovered to have actively misled parliament, or if he faces felony sanctions, then his place could be untenable. He has additionally argued that an impartial individual ought to think about the Grey report having been quoted within the East Anglian Day by day Instances saying that, “We’re within the extraordinarily uncommon state of affairs the place the Prime minister is each underneath investigation and the arbitrator of that very same investigation”.

Richardson, Angela [Considered hostile]
Would comfortably lose her Guildford seat to the Lib Dems primarily based on the present ranges of Conservative polling.  The primary resignation from the federal government’s so referred to as ‘payroll vote’ due to ‘partygate’.  Quitting her place as PPS to Michael Gove, she cited her ‘deep disappointment’ in Boris Johnson.  In an announcement to her constituents after the Grey report was printed she commented that: “It additionally appears as if there are additional inquiries to which we don’t but have the reply, due to the Metropolitan Police investigation”.

Sambrook, Gary [Considered hostile]
Elected in 2019 for Birmingham Northfield with a slim majority of 1,640. Sambrook was initially recognized as being a part of the pork pie plot of MPs elected in 2019 that have been hostile to the PM. He was additionally closely rumoured to have put in a letter to the 1922 committee, having been quoted within the Day by day Mail as saying: “The prime minister has admitted attending one of many gatherings however disputed its standing as a celebration, and has apologised. All of us will come to our personal conclusions”. Extra not too long ago although, Sambrook has recommended that he has listened to the PM and his “guarantees” on change and that he helps him in “delivering’ for his constituents”. In what’s a secret letter writing course of, we suspect that solely Sambrook (and Graham Brady) really is aware of what is happening right here.

Smith, Julian [Considered hostile]
North Yorkshire MP and former authorities chief whip underneath Theresa Could. He was later sacked by Boris Johnson as Northern Eire secretary after simply six months within the job. Situated on the Tory left, and has been described by the Monetary Instances as being “opposed” to each the “tone and elegance” of the Johnson authorities. He was immediately important of the PM on Twitter in regards to the “smear” made in opposition to Sir Keir Starmer in relation to Jimmy Savile.

Spencer, Ben [Considered hostile]
An additional psychiatrist who seems hostile to the PM. Youthful MP elected in 2019 for a protected seat in Surrey.  He’s a member of the Tory Reform Group on the average wing of the occasion. In relation to partygate he has issued a reasonably robust assertion on Fb, by which he mentioned: “The prime minister has set out his rationalization, which is that he believed on the time it was a piece occasion. I battle with this … Clearly whether it is discovered that the prime minister has deliberately misled parliament or knowingly broke the regulation his place could be untenable”.

Stride, Mel [Considered hostile]
Former chief of the Home of Commons who having lastly reached the Cupboard underneath Theresa Could, was sacked after simply two months within the job when Boris Johnson turned prime minister.  Persevering with the development on this list- that if you’re a Conservative chair of a choose committee – you then seem to have notable points with Mr Johnson, Mr Stride is at present the chair of the treasury committee.   He was a Remainer who backed Michael Gove within the 2019 Conservative management election.  The Sunday Telegraph reported in January 2022 {that a} assembly of as much as 40 Conservative MPs (together with Mr Gove himself) happened in a pub near Mr Stride’s London home.

Syms, Robert [Considered hostile]
Lengthy standing MP from Dorset.  Covid lockdown sceptic who backed Boris within the 2019 management election. Nonetheless in an ominous assertion, he mentioned ,“I’m contemplating whether or not or not I must put in a letter. I’ve had emails from what I’d name Christian, respectable, trustworthy, honourable varieties of Tory voters, who say they really feel embarrassed about voting Conservative with Boris Johnson’.

Thomas, Derek [Considered hostile]
Brexiter who supported Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 management contest.  Beneath present opinion polling ranges would lose his St Ives seat to the Liberal Democrats. Earlier than the Grey report was printed commented on Fb, that, “If the inquiry or the Metropolitan police discover that the alleged actions have been unlawful and that the PM knew this, or was concerned, then I feel he ought to think about his place.”

Tugendhat, Tom [Considered hostile]
Overseas affairs choose committee chair and the MP for Tonbridge in Kent.   Remainer, whose uncle was a European Commissioner.   Described by the Unbiased newspaper as a fierce critic of the PM, somebody with whom he’s thought to have a prickly relationship. Backed Michel Gove in 2019.   He’s politically very formidable.  The truth that he not too long ago turned the primary MP to overtly declare himself as a candidate to interchange Mr Johnston (nonetheless unlikely that’s in Mr Tugendhat’s case), would additional counsel that the PM is unlikely to be relying on his assist.

Walker, Charles [Considered hostile]
Tory Grandee, and independently minded MP for the very protected seat of Broxbourne in Hertfordshire. He beforehand caught his neck out to thwart a 2015 plot to take away Commons speaker, John Bercow. He has already recommended that if Boris resigned, it will present nice braveness, telling Channel 4, “I’d applaud him for doing that”.  He has been quoted within the Day by day Mail as saying the PM has 6 months to revive belief within the authorities.

Wright, Jeremy [Considered hostile]
Former Legal professional Common, who backed Sajid Javid within the 2019 management election.  In an announcement printed on his web site, he says “I share the widespread disappointment in the best way the prime minister has dealt with this matter. That is subsequently a really severe state of affairs and questions in regards to the prime minister’s means to remain in workplace are respectable.’

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Block 3 – Indicators of concern for the PM

Afolami, Bim [Signs of concern for the PM]
Backed Johnson within the 2019 management election, seen as being on the left of the Conservative occasion.  If an election was held primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges, he would lose his Hitchin and Harpenden seat to the Lib Dems.  Reacted to Grey report in a non-committal manner by saying that he would “rigorously examine” what emerged.   Extra tellingly he wrote on the Conservative dwelling web site in November, that there was a nagging sense within the public that we must be higher ruled.  Persevering with he wrote, “And for the reason that prime minister is on the apex of the system, he’ll carry a lot of the can…the actual criticism from the general public is that they don’t suppose that MPs and the federal government are doing their jobs successfully sufficient”….  “Dare I say it, I feel they’re proper”.

Baker, Steve [Signs of concern for the PM]
Serial insurgent and Brexiter who was closely concerned within the marketing campaign to oust Theresa Could.  Backed Boris in 2019, however by no means entered the Johnson authorities.  He has been important of the PM over Covid lockdowns.   He would comfortably lose his Wycombe seat to Labour in an election primarily based on something like the present opinion polls.  He has described the prime minister’s present place as considered one of ‘checkmate’.

Beresford, Sir Paul [Signs of concern for the PM]
Dentist and veteran MP from Surrey who backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 management contest.  Has been quoted within the Guardian as saying, “As we await the total report on occasions, and in all probability for the foreseeable futureI and lots of of my parliamentary colleagues will regard the prime minister as being ‘on licence’. He has behaved foolishly and is undeniably a diminished determine now”.

Blackman, Bob [Signs of concern for the PM]
Former Member of the London Meeting who would narrowly lose his Harrow East seat to Labour in any election that mirrored present opinion ballot ranges.  He was one of many first MPs to be overtly important after the ‘partygate’ allegations emerged, saying: ‘Persons are rightly livid… I’m clear that those that set the principles should abide by them or face the implications’.

Butler, Rob [Signs of concern for the PM]
Former Justice of the Peace, first elected for Aylesbury in 2019.  He has instructed his native newspaper, the Bucks Herald, that he would wait till the Metropolitan Police report is completed earlier than providing a clear-cut response on what penalties the Prime minister ought to face.

Cartlidge, James [Signs of concern for the PM]
Elected in 2015.  Backed Jeremy Hunt in 2019, however appointed a junior minister by Boris Johnson. After the issuing of the police fastened penalty discover, he issued an announcement on his web site. Within the assertion, he mentioned that he knew the PM and Chancellor have been ‘going to offer it their all’ and made different supportive noises in regards to the PM getting the large calls proper. Nonetheless the assertion additionally talks about each ‘sides of the ledger’, and accommodates the phrases ‘as difficult as circumstances could also be’. Outwardly the assertion seems to be backing the PM, notably within the context of the conflict in Ukraine, however you may additionally be forgiven, for questioning in regards to the extent to which the feedback have been rigorously crafted.

Cates,  Miriam [Signs of concern for the PM]
Elected in 2019 for Penistone and Stocksbridge in South Yorkshire.  She would lose her seat to Labour in an election that mirrored present opinion polling ranges. She has circuitously publicly commented on whether or not she thinks Boris ought to resign, however has beforehand instructed the Sheffield Star that, “whoever is discovered to have damaged the principles should face penalties – in accordance with the regulation – with out concern or favour.”

Caulfield, Maria [Signs of concern for the PM]
Junior well being minister who has labored as a nurse on the Royal Marsden.  Initially backed Dominic Raab within the 2019 management contest.  She would comfortably lose her Lewes seat in Sussex to the Lib Dems in any election primarily based on present opinion polling. After the issuing of lock down guidelines mentioned on Twitter that the PM and Chancellor wanted to get on with their jobs, but additionally reaffirmed that she was important of occasions in Downing Road. An earlier assertion on her web site had mentioned, “I spoke out publicly when Dominic Cummings broke the principles throughout lockdown and referred to as for his resignation and so I shall be calling for motion in opposition to anybody who has been discovered to have damaged the principles. It’s clear that there was a tradition inside Quantity 10 the place even when guidelines weren’t technically damaged, the spirit of the principles have been, and that is fully unacceptable”.

Chalk, Alex [Signs of concern for the PM]
Solicitor Common on the left of the Conservative occasion.  Supported Matt Hancock within the 2019 management election.   He would comfortably lose his Cheltenham seat to the Lib Dems in any election primarily based on present polling. Chalk has been reported to be involved about Johnson’s feedback in relation to Jimmy Saville and in accordance with the Guardian is claimed to be on ‘resignation watch’.

Churchill, Jo [Signs of concern for the PM]
Junior atmosphere minister from Bury St Edmunds.  Backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 management contest.  She has publicly gone additional than many ministers, writing in her native paper that, “many constituents have written to me about their anger and frustration on the present state of affairs concerning Downing Road. I’ve made these views very clear to the prime minister”.

Inexperienced, Damian [Signs of concern for the PM] 
Former deputy prime minister and ally of Theresa Could, who was himself pressured to step down after an investigation by the mentioned Sue Grey.  He did again Boris Johnson within the 2019 management content material.  On the One Nation wing of the occasion, not essentially a Johnson mattress fellow. As but doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate. Has been quoted within the Telegraph as saying the federal government was in very ‘harmful’ territory and nobody must be making an attempt to place strain on the police investigation.

Davies, Philip [Signs of concern for the PM]
Outspoken MP on the appropriate of the Conservative occasion who’s married to fellow MP, Esther McVey. He backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 management election.  He would comfortably lose his Shipley seat in West Yorkshire to Labour in any basic election primarily based on present opinion polling ranges. He’s quoted as saying that the Sue Grey report has ‘broken belief’ in Boris Johnson.  In potential indications that he could also be wavering, he was reported to have been seen going into Downing Road as a part of group on the appropriate of the occasion to satisfy the PM.

Dinenage, Caroline [Signs of concern for the PM]
Former minister from the army seat of Gosport on the Hampshire coast.  She was sacked by Boris Johnson in his autumn 2021 reshuffle.  She backed Jeremy Hunt quite than Boris Johnson within the 2019 management content material. Beforehand commented to ITV that, “Individuals rightly have issues. I’ve issues” including, “The prime minister says there was no occasion, that he’s been assured there was no occasion. He says that he has instructed the cupboard secretary to look into this ,and be doubly positive that there shall be repercussions if that seems to be fallacious”.

Duguid, David [Signs of concern for the PM]
Former Scottish workplace minister, who was dismissed from the federal government in 2021.  Backed Michael Gove within the 2019 Conservative management election.  Can be in peril of shedding his Bannff and Buchan seat to the SNP if an election was held primarily based on present opinion polls.   He has been very quiet on the PMs future, however is suspected to have related views to lots of his Scottish Conservative colleagues who’re apprehensive about Johnson’s unpopularity in Scotland.

Duncan Smith, Iain [Signs of concern for the PM]
Former Conservative chief who was as soon as himself pressured out by the parliamentary occasion.  Backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 management election.   His beforehand protected Chingford seat in north London has turn out to be one of the vital marginal seats within the nation over the past decade, and now appears extremely more likely to fall to Labour on the subsequent election.  He instructed Speak Radio that he was important of an absence of ‘management’ tradition from the highest in Downing Road, but additionally mentioned that the PM has received a few of the large calls proper in the course of the pandemic.  Mr Duncan Smith, beforehand instructed the i newspaper that the PM would discover it troublesome to carry onto his put up if the pressure positive him. Nonetheless his method has modified (for now) following the Russian invasion of Ukraine. On the day that the police positive really got here, he then ‘tweeted’, “We’re all indignant, however the PM should keep. Britain faces a collection of nationwide crises. That is the worst potential time to crate a vacuum at Westminster. Unclear although, that he may be relied upon for the long run.

Dunne, Philip [Signs of concern for the PM]
Former defence minister underneath David Cameron and Theresa Could who’s the MP for Ludlow in Shropshire.  He was instrumental in managing Jeremy Hunt’s marketing campaign for the Conservative occasion management in opposition to Boris Johnson again in 2019.   Accepts the Grey report highlights a failure of management in No.10, however has mentioned for now that he won’t name on Johnson to resign whereas there’s a police investigation ongoing.

Elphicke, Natalie [Signs of concern for the PM]
Elected in 2019 because the MP for the as soon as marginal Dover seat in Kent.  She appears more likely to narrowly retain her seat if a basic election was held on the idea of the present opinion polls. Former finance lawyer. Has publicly commented that she was ‘shocked’ by the partygate allegations, however would watch for the end result of the Grey investigation.

Farris, Laura [Signs of concern for the PM]
New MP elected in 2019 for Newbury.  Thought of to be on the ‘One Nation’ wing of the Conservative occasion. Barrister whose late father was a Conservative MP for her present seat. In response to partygate allegations, she has instructed the BBC that, “The foundations have been clear and unequivocal at that time limit. I don’t suppose anyone thought you have been meant to be having events”.

Foster, Kevin [Signs of concern for the PM]
Junior dwelling workplace minister from Torbay.  He backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 management election.  Has publicly famous how he and his spouse didn’t go to a detailed relative who was significantly sick and handed away in early 2021, commenting to Devon Reside that, “We subsequently take the identical view as different Torbay residents about allegations that others weren’t doing the identical”.

Freeman, George [Signs of concern for the PM]
Science minister, who supported Matt Hancock within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.  Considered one of a few authorities ministers who seem to have gone additional than most in being important of partygate.  Was reported by the Instances to have written a letter to a Norfolk constituent by which he mentioned he was “flabbergasted” by the allegations, and that these in positions of energy, “shouldn’t search to flee public duty or accountability”.

Gideon, Jo [Signs of concern for the PM]
Crimson Wall MP elected for Stoke on Trent Central in 2019.  Would simply lose her seat to Labour primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges. She was publicly very important of the primary Downing Road occasion allegation, being quoted within the Stoke Sentinel as saying, “Like everybody, I spent the Christmas interval in lockdown alone at dwelling in Stoke-on-Trent, unable to see buddies, household or colleagues. The allegations of Christmas events in Downing Road and the video launched by ITV have sparked outrage and shouldn’t go ignored, particularly given the sacrifices we have been all making throughout the identical interval”.

Glen, John [Signs of concern for the PM]
Salisbury MP and present treasury minister underneath Rishi Sunak.  Former Justice of the Peace.  Backed Boris Johnson within the last phases of the 2019 Conservative occasion management election. Seems to have gone additional than some ministers in publicly expressing his displeasure at partygate.  Writing within the Salisbury Journal he mentioned, “I’ve made robust representations to my whip, conveying the anger of constituents and certainly my very own conviction that this must be handled definitively”.  Persevering with he mentioned, “I don’t and won’t search to defend what occurred and shall be persevering with to make my emotions recognized”.

Grant, Helen [Signs of concern for the PM]
Former sports activities minister who represents Maidstone in Kent.  Appointed by Boris Johnson in 2021 as his ‘Particular Envoy for Women’ and has been in each Nepal and South Sudan in latest months.    As soon as a Labour occasion member, she backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.  Nonetheless, she is quoted in Kent On-line as saying that Boris Johnson’s apology over partygate has performed “little to quell her excessive concern over this very sorry state of affairs”.

Grey, James [Signs of concern for the PM]
Veteran MP who has been an MP in Wiltshire since 1997.  Has mentioned he would watch for the findings of the inquiries and wouldn’t be part of a ‘kangaroo’ court docket in opposition to the PM.  Nonetheless he was additionally quoted within the Wilts and Gloucestershire Customary as saying, “However you may be sure that if any of those allegations are discovered to be true, and if the PM or different senior individuals are proven to have been concerned, then our assist for them will, no doubt, disappear”.

Hart, Sally-Ann [Signs of concern for the PM]
MP for Hastings since 2019, she would comfortably lose the seat to Labour primarily based on present opinion polling ranges. One other former Justice of the Peace (there are fairly a couple of on this listing…) who has instructed Sussex Reside, that she was ‘extraordinarily involved’ in regards to the allegations made in opposition to the prime minister and had met the chief whip to focus on her issues.  She has beforehand mentioned she was ready for the conclusion of the Grey inquiry.

Heald, Oliver [Signs of concern for the PM]
Veteran MP from Hertfordshire.  Remainer who backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 conservative management election. Reacting to the Grey Report he instructed his native ‘Comet’ newspaper that he was awaiting the end result of the police investigation and that he needed to check the total Grey Report when out there, including, “Clearly what has occurred in Downing Road shouldn’t have occurred and the police investigations and the total Grey Report will inform us the place the fault lies. I need to see the total information.”

Holmes, Paul [Signs of concern for the PM]
Elected in 2019 for Eastleigh in Hampshire.  He serves as PPS to Priti Patel.  Restricted public feedback, however has been reported as being notably uneasy about occasions in Downing Road, and has held an in individual assembly with the prime minister.

Howell, Paul [Signs of concern]
Crimson Wall MP for Tony Blair’s previous seat of Sedgefield. Would lose the seat to Labour if a basic election was held on the idea of present opinion polling. He has mentioned he has been appalled by the reported behaviour. He has been linked within the media with the ‘pork pie’ plotters from the 2019 consumption. In the beginning of the yr, he wrote on Fb that “in a democracy, no person is above the regulation, and those that make the principles can not retain credibility if they’re discovered to have damaged the principles themselves”. In April, on Twitter he appeared to have considerably softened his stance after the police issued their fines to the PM and the Chancellor, and pointed to the work they have been doing levelling up. He mentioned it was proper that those that broke the principles that they helped implement confronted the implications, however mentioned in relation to the ten minute assembly that lay behind the pair’s positive, that “I don’t think about it to be a resigning matter”. It stays to be seen if this stays his place if new fines are issued to the PM for different gatherings.

Hudson, Neil  [Signs of concern for the PM]
Equine vet who was elected inf 2019 for the protected seat of Penrith and the Border. Has been publicly important in relation to the partygate affair saying he was “appalled” on the experiences of the Could gatherings in Downing Road.  He has additionally commented that he won’t defend the indefensible and that there must be ‘severe penalties’ if the principles have been damaged.   He has mentioned he’s ready for the outcomes of the Metropolitan Police inquiry.

Jenkin, Bernard [Signs of concern for the PM]
Veteran MP and Brexiter who backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 management election.  He chairs the Home of Commons liaison committee. Beforehand quoted within the Unbiased as saying that the PM shall be ‘judged on outcomes’ over the following few months, earlier than quite unhelpfully including that Conservative MPs ‘want no reminder’ as to the right way to get rid of a failing chief.  Submit the PMs mini cupboard reshfuffle, he was rapidly on Sky Information to assert MPs weren’t within the optics or impression of change.

Knight, Julian [Signs of concern for the PM]
He’s the chair of the tradition choose committee, and writer of the e book, ‘Politics for dummies’.  After the issuing of the fastened penalty notices, he did although situation an announcement to say, ‘Given the essential level in Europe’s historical past proper now, it’s not the appropriate time to vary the management of the nation’. Nonetheless he additionally taken a important line on partygate, beforehand telling Instances Radio: “What I’d say is that it will be charitable to say that partygate, in the event you like, is because of acts of utmost stupidity on behalf of these at Quantity 10”. Persevering with he mentioned: “I’m very open minded in regards to the future route of the Conservative occasion, that’s all I need to say on the problem”. Has been additional quoted within the Birmingham Mail as saying that, “everybody” believes prime minister Boris Johnson may very well be pressured to stop. Has been very important of the federal government within the final month on their plans to dump Channel 4.

Kruger, Danny [Signs of concern for the PM]
Former speech author for David Cameron and one time political secretary to Boris Johnson. Elected to Westminster in 2019 for Devizes in Wiltshire. It seems he is likely to be turning on his former boss. In an announcement on his web site, he wrote that he was sorry that so many “lifelong Conservative voters” have determined they can not vote for us once more whereas Boris Johnson is chief. Persevering with he wrote: “They signify the respectable tendency which is the inspiration of our occasion and certainly our nation: the individuals who imagine in following the principles, being straight with individuals and being accountable to your conduct. It’s a very dangerous second when so many individuals like this lose religion in a Conservative prime minister”. Nonetheless on the day that the PM obtained a set penalty discover, he appeared to have softened his method writing on Twitter, ‘But when that is it – the PM being given a birthday cake by colleagues in his workplace, at a little question awkward gathering lasting lower than 10 minutes – then after all he mustn’t resign’. It does although stay to be seen what Mr Kruger’s method could also be if extra fines are issued.

Lamont, John [Signs of concern for the PM]
MP for Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk who could be in peril of shedding his seat to SNP if an election was held primarily based on present polling.  He backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 Conservative management election. Has been important of the backyard occasion occasion in Could 2020, describing it as ‘unacceptable’ and has referred to as for the Grey report back to be printed in full. He’s quoted in his native Border Telegraph as saying, “Nobody is above the regulation. Not even the Prime minister. These discovered to have damaged the regulation should be held accountable.” Given the broader opposition of many main Scottish Conservatives to the PM, Mr Lamont’s place must be watched carefully.

Largan, Robert [Signs of concern for the PM]
Independently minded, Conservative MP for Excessive Peak within the Derbyshire dales.  Elected in 2019 with a deadly majority of simply 590 over Labour. In a letter that he wrote to a constituent, he has been reported as saying “I can’t defend the indefensible. We can not have a state of affairs the place it’s one rule for politicians and one other rule for everybody else. I can guarantee you that I shall be taking the suitable motion to defend integrity in public life”.

Latham, Pauline [Signs of concern for the PM]
Brexiter who represents Mid Derbyshire. Chatting with Derbyshire Reside, she mentioned, “Finally, the buck stops with these on the high however I’m at present balancing these misjudgements in opposition to the prime minister’s successes in the course of the pandemic”.  She claims to be giving the PM “the good thing about the doubt in the meanwhile”. Nonetheless she has additionally instructed Instances Radio that, “If he has lied to Parliament, there shall be no selection”.

Levy, Ian [Signs of concern for the PM]
The primary Crimson Wall MP whose Blyth Valley end result (small majority of 712) got here in early on election night time.  He instructed his native Chronicle paper that, ‘the general public deserves higher than this’.  Within the media it has been speculated that he may very well be related to the so referred to as ‘pork pie’ plotters of MPs from the 2019 consumption who’re hostile to the PM. He has been quoted within the Day by day Telegraph as saying that he was unable to see his spouse’s mom when she was dying in a nursing dwelling and that he understands the actual public anger over the problem.  He has additionally mentioned that, “Ready for the inquiry just isn’t, on my half, an try to keep away from the problem, however to make sure we will pay attention to the information”.

Lewis, Julian [Signs of concern for the PM]
Extraordinarily impartial minded MP from the New Forest who misplaced the Conservative whip for a lot of months earlier on this parliament when standing to turn out to be chair of the Commons intelligence and safety committee on the again of Labour votes. He backed Boris within the 2019 management election, however has referred to as for the PM to publish the Grey report in full and instantly.

Maynard, Paul [Signs of concern for the PM]
Former minister who backed Johnson within the 2019 content material.  Nonetheless he’s reported within the Guardian as having mentioned to a constituent that, “occasions of latest months have dented my confidence within the prime minister to say the least, and I really feel he has significantly let the nation as a complete down”. His Blackpool North seat could be on a knife edge if a basic election mirrored the present opinion ballot place.

Mercer, Johnny [Signs of concern for the PM]
Agitated former veterans minister from Plymouth who resigned from the federal government in 2021.  One other very independently minded MP, albeit one who did again Boris within the 2019 management election.   In a public assertion issued when the partygate allegations first emerged, Mercer mentioned, “A very horrible and unhappy day.  Terrible for the individuals of Plymouth who’ve given and misplaced a lot obeying guidelines imposed by Downing Road, a tragic day for colleagues who’ve labored laborious to assist a No10 clearly uncontrolled”.  Moderately than again the PM, he instructed his native Plymouth Reside web site that he wouldn’t be commenting on whether or not he had submitted a letter of no confidence.

Metcalfe, Stephen [Signs of concern for the PM]
Backed Michael Gove within the 2019 conservative management election.   Has described in his native Echo newspaper how he watched his father in regulation’s funeral on-line on the time of the alleged events in Quantity 10.   Though citing anger from different members of his household, he has but to name for the PM to resign himself.  He seems to be ready for the total report having mentioned that the Grey Report has thus far instructed him little and he didn’t know to what extent ‘Boris attended or joined in with these gatherings but’.

Millar, Robin  [Signs of concern for the PM]
His Aberconwy seat in north Wales would comfortably be received by Labour if an election was held primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges.  He’s a former director of the Conservative Christian Fellowship.  He has mentioned that the temper amongst MPs was they have been ‘actually not impressed’ by the entire affair, describing the harm it was inflicting as ‘appreciable’.

Moore, Damien  [Signs of concerns for the PM]
Commerce envoy for Tunisia and Libya, who backed Boris within the 2019 management contest.  Would comfortably lose his Southport seat to Labour  if an election was held in the present day primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges. Backed the PM in his overhaul of the No.10 operation, however has additionally instructed his native paper that he’s awaiting the conclusions of the Met Police inquiry and the total Grey report earlier than making any additional remark. Beforehand commented on social media that he was “extraordinarily upset at this clear lapse in judgement” in relation to information that the PM had apparently briefly attended the Could backyard occasion.

Moore, Robbie [Signs of concern for the PM]
Elected in 2019, gaining his Keighly seat from Labour with a majority of two,218. He would comfortably lose that seat to Labour if an election was held on the again of present opinion ballot ranges. He has additionally mentioned publicly that he’s in infuriated by the ‘partygate’ allegations, and that, “If any occasion happened that was in breach of the principles, the strongest disciplinary motion should be taken, and I’ll proceed to comply with any revelations on this carefully.”

Mordaunt, Penny [Signs of concern for the PM]
Formidable commerce minister and former TV celeb diving contestant. She is touted within the media (regardless of the improbability of success) as a candidate to interchange Johnson. Former defence secretary who left the federal government when Boris turned Prime minister in 2019. She  backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 conservative management election. In response to the Day by day Mail is one of some ministers who’re on a so referred to as ‘resignation watch’ reflecting their unease with the present state of affairs.

Neill, Bob [Signs of concern for the PM]
Independently minded MP from south east London who backed Michael Gove within the 2019 conservative management election.  He was not too long ago important of Boris Johnson after his feedback in relation to Jimmy Saville and Sir Keir Starmer.  On partygate, he mentioned, ‘we can not have one rule for these working in authorities and one for the remainder of the inhabitants’.  He has although mentioned he would watch for the total findings of the Grey Report.

Parish, Neil  [Signs of concern for the PM]
Former MEP who backed Stay and supported Michael Gove within the 2019 conservative management election. He has been quoted in Devon Reside as calling for the ‘full reality’ on the partygate affair saying, “I await the end result of the inquiry, and what motion the prime minister will absorb response, if certainly he broke the principles”.

Percy, Andrew [Signs of concern for the PM]
Lincolnshire MP who backed Boris within the 2019 management election.  Nonetheless has commented that he and his constituents are ‘pissed off and irritated’ by the partygate affair.  He has not too long ago put ahead the idea of a Freedom Invoice’ to repay the covid fines of people that discovered themselves on the fallacious facet of the principles for something apart from ‘egregious’ offences.   In additional indicators of his agitation with the present occasion management, he savaged Jacob Rees Mogg for his assault on the Scottish Conservative Chief, Douglas Ross, after Mr Ross had himself referred to as for the PM to resign.

Randall, Tom [Signs of concern for the PM]
Elected in 2019 for Gedling in Nottinghamshire with a small majority of 679.   Some media experiences have linked him to the so referred to as ‘pork pie’ plot of newly elected MPs from 2019.  He was quoted on Nottinghamshire Reside as saying, “Persons are rightly very indignant about what has occurred. I share that anger. We should all obey the principles, with out exception, and be accountable for our habits”.

Robertson, Laurence [Signs of concern for the PM]
Veteran Tewkesbury MP who was unable to go to his dying father in hospital as a result of Covid guidelines.  In an e mail despatched to constituents that was printed on Gloucestershire Reside he has referenced how the Could Downing Road gathering was held 5 days after his father’s funeral. He commented that he would watch for the Grey report, however not as a result of he needed to cover behind the report or kick the matter into the ‘lengthy grass’ however as a result of he needed to evaluate the entire state of affairs. Backed Boris within the 2019 management election, however was faraway from an unpaid commerce envoy position by the federal government after voting in opposition to the Prime minister’s Plan B Covid-19 restrictions in December.

Selous, Andrew [Signs of concern for the PM]
Lengthy standing MP from south west Bedfordshire.  He’s chairman of the Conservative Christian Fellowship.  He has been quoted on Bedfordshire Reside as saying he ‘was very indignant and upset’ in regards to the Downing Road gatherings, including, “I’ve made my views very clear in regards to the requirements which I count on to be maintained by all these in energy in future”. He has additionally been quoted within the Guardian as telling constituents, “I need each considered one of these allegations to be totally and independently investigated, if mandatory, by the police and I need all of these, nonetheless senior, who’ve damaged the regulation or authorities steerage to be appropriately punished”.

Shelbrooke, Alex [Signs of concern for the PM]
Unbiased minded MP from Elmet in Yorkshire who has been ferociously important of the federal government within the Commons in regards to the delay in housing Ukrainian refugees. After the police issued the PM with a set penalty discover, he instructed his native Harrogate advertister that now was ‘not the appropriate time’ for the PM to go and there have been urgent points that wanted addressing. Nonetheless Mr Shelbrooke has additionally mentioned, that he ‘received’t defend the indefensible’ and that he had instructed this to Mr Johnson’s face. He additionally added that he had knocked on a really giant variety of doorways since January and so knew how indignant individuals have been in relation to ‘partygate’.

Simmonds, David [Signs of concern for the PM]
Elected in 2019 for a neighbouring constituency to the PM in north west London.  He has although not been afraid to fireplace off some criticisms to the PM telling BBC London, “We’re all fairly pissed off with the state of affairs” persevering with that holding a celebration in lockdown was “clearly indefensible” and it shouldn’t be not possible for Mr Johnson to say whether or not he was there or not.

Smith, Greg [Signs of concern for the PM]
Elected in 2019 for the protected seat of Buckingham.  Positioned on the appropriate of the Conservative occasion.  Informed his native Bucks Free Press that he was undecided that Johnson’s accounts on the Commons dispatch field the place mandatory serving to his case, including “My endurance on this matter may be very skinny, however earlier than I attain any completely stable conclusions, I want to see the impartial findings of Sue Grey”.

Sturdy, Julian [Signs of concern for the PM]
Supported Boris Johnson within the 2019 management election. Straight speaking Yorkshireman who has mentioned claims that the Downing Road backyard occasion was a piece associated occasion received’t wash with the general public.  Has instructed the Yorkshire Submit that the unredacted Sue Grey report “must be printed as quickly as potential so our actions in response may be totally knowledgeable”.

Sunderland, James [Signs of concern for the PM]
Former military corporal first elected in 2019 for the protected seat of Bracknell in Berkshire.  He was quoted in January within the Guardian as saying that he was “livid” on the obvious lack of grip regarding the state of affairs, including, one thing has “clearly gone fallacious with the political machine at No 10.”

Trott, Laura [Signs of concern for the PM]
Former aide to David Cameron.  Elected in 2019 for the protected seat of Sevenoaks in Kent.  Seen as an formidable MP, however one who has but to be promoted. Essential of Boris previously, suggesting in the course of the 2019 conservative management marketing campaign, {that a} Johnson victory may result in an early Common election and a Corbyn win. She has been quoted in her native Sevenoaks Chronicle after the Grey Report as saying, “The conclusions within the replace are extraordinarily severe, and whereas we nonetheless don’t have all the main points, the replace made some vital suggestions”. She added,”I’m very clear that we’d like transparency on what precisely occurred, and that’s the reason the Sue Grey report should be printed in full as soon as the police inquiry is full. MPs and the general public have the appropriate to see the total findings.”

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Block 4 – Presently mendacity low

Aiken, Nickie [Currently lying low]
London MP appointed by Johnson as a vice chair of the Conservative occasion in 2020.  Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Ansell, Caroline [Currently lying low]
Eastbourne MP who would lose her seat to the Liberal Democrats primarily based on present polling. Beforehand resigned as a authorities PPS over the federal government’s response to the free faculty meals marketing campaign led by Marcus Rashford.  Evangelical christian. Has thus far commented within the Eastbourne Herald that, “I’m simply as involved as anybody to know what has occurred and why. There may be an investigation and I’d urge it to be accomplished and its findings printed as quickly as potential”.

Atherton, Sarah [Currently lying low]
First Conservative lady MP in Wales.  Gained Wrexham in 2019 however would comfortably lose her 2,213 majority seat in any election primarily based on present polling.  In a joint assertion with neighbouring Clwyd MP, Simon Baynes mentioned she welcomed the PM’s apology and dedication to restructure Downing Road, however that it was ‘not applicable’ to make judgements till the findings of the Metropolitan Police Investigation’.

Atkins, Victoria [Currently lying low]
Dwelling workplace minister appointed by Boris Johnson. Has been very quiet on the partygate revelations.

Bacon, Gareth [Currently lying low]
Took over from Boris’ brother in Orpington in 2019.  Served on the London Meeting similtaneously Boris Johnson was Mayor.  Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Bailey, Shaun [Currently lying low]
Youthful, purple Wall MP for West Bromwich West who was elected in 2019.    Would simply lose his seat if a basic election was held in opposition to the present polling backdrop. Following the police positive issued to the PM, commented on ‘Twitter’ that Boris Johnson was proper to ‘maintain his hand up’, however the focus must be on the price of dwelling disaster and Ukraine.

Baillie, Siobhan [Currently lying low]
First elected in 2019 however would lose her Stroud seat closely in any election held underneath present polling backdrop.   No notable public touch upon Boris.  As an alternative her twitter account exhibits her to be very within the situation of wetlands in the mean time. Voted in opposition to the federal government on covid restrictions.

Baron, John [Currently lying low]
Independently minded MP from Essex, who opposed the Gulf Struggle in 2003. Quoted in his native ‘Echo’ newspaper as saying in relation to the Grey Report, “It’s important that these shortcomings are put proper, and we’ll know extra when all investigations are full”.

Bradley, Ben [Currently lying low]
Chief of Nottinghamshire County Council who backed Boris in 2019.  Informed the Nottingham Submit that ‘clearly loads of errors have been made’ and that he hoped the Grey report would ‘permit us to attract a line underneath it a technique or one other’.

Brady, Graham [Currently lying low]
The person who receives the letters, and who retains his personal counsel. He did although this week ‘like’ a tweet welcoming the appointment of Stephen Barclay because the PM’s new chief of workers.   MP since 1997.  Nonetheless his as soon as protected Altrincham and Sale West seat has turn out to be rather more marginal lately.  Based mostly on the present opinion polls, he appears more likely to lose it fairly comfortably to Labour if an election was held in the present day.

Brereton, Jack [Currently lying low]
Younger MP who represents Stoke South.  In an election in the present day, he would nonetheless maintain his seat primarily based on present polling.  He has been important of the assist that his native occasion is receiving native from Conservative HQ.  Presently serves as PPS to defence secretary and Johnson loyalist, Ben Wallace.  Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Britcliffe, Sara [Currently lying low]
Youngest Conservative MP.  Crimson Wall MP elected for Hyndburn in Lancashire in 2019.  Would comfortably lose her 2,951 majority seat in an election primarily based on present election polling. Writing in her native newspaper, Britcliffe mentioned, “There may be clearly a case to be answered for and we’d like to ensure it’s investigated totally. I’ll replicate on the findings as they arrive out and proceed to hearken to suggestions from residents”.  She do although not too long ago ‘like’ a ‘tweet’ from a fellow MP that was welcoming the modifications made in No10 and suggesting that the PM is delivering.

Bruce, Fiona [Currently lying low]
Cheshire MP and evangelical Christian who at present serves because the prime minister’s particular envory for freedom of faith or perception.  She backed Sajid Javid within the 2019 management contest. Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Buchan, Felicity[Currently lying low]
Kensington MP who possesses the second smallest Conservative majority at Wesminster.  Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Cairns, Alun [Currently lying low]
Former secretary of state for Wales who backed Boris in 2019.  Would comfortably lose his Vale of Glamorgan seat in any election primarily based on the present polling. Initially didn’t remark publicly on partygage, however after the issuing of a police positive, tweeted to say, ‘These are severe issues and the PM has mentioned that individuals have the appropriate to count on higher’, but additionally added that ‘Ukraine should be our precedence and the PM’s continued focus’.

Carter, Andy [Currently lying low]
Former Justice of the Peace elected in 2019.   Sits on a slim majority of two,010 in Warrington South.  Would simply lose his seat in any election that mirrored present polling. Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Chisti, Rehman [Currently lying low]
Gillingham MP and one time Labour occasion Parliamentary candidate for Horsham.  Backed Boris within the 2019 contest.  Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Costa, Alberto [Currently lying low]
Leicestershire MP who backed Michael Gove within the 2019 management election. Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future. He did although seem to welcome the appointment of Steve Barclay to No.10 on Twitter.

Daly, James [Currently lying low]
The Conservative MP for Bury North with the honour of holding the occasion’s most marginal seat (105 votes).  He has been lively in saying that he has not felt any strain from authorities whips, however has not commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Davies, Gareth [Currently lying low]
First elected in 2019 for the protected seat of Grantham. Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Davies, James [Currently lying low]
A medical physician, who received the Vale of Clwyd again for the Conservatives in 2019.  Would comfortably lose the seat to Labour in an election that was held in the present day primarily based on the present polls. Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Djanogly, Jonathan [Currently lying low]
Lengthy standing MP for the protected seat of Huntingdon in Cambridgeshire, one which was beforehand represented by John Main.  He backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election. Rebelled over covid passports.  Stated he was happy to see the PM apologise to the Commons, but it surely was now mandatory to attend for the total inquiry.

Eastwood, Mark [Currently lying low]
2019 Crimson Wall victor, whose marginal Dewsbury seat could be comfortably regained by Labour in any election primarily based on present opinion polls. Has beforehand commented that he was ready for the Grey report earlier than making any touch upon the way forward for Mr Johnson.

Edwards, Ruth [Currently lying low]
Elected in 2019, taking up Kenneth Clarke’s seat at Westminster. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Evans, Nigel [Currently lying low]
Veteran MP and deputy Commons Speaker.  Backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election and traditionally could be thought to be a supporter of the PM.  Nonetheless he has mentioned that he received’t be commenting on the present state of affairs given his position as a Commons Deputy Speaker.

Evennett, Sir David [Currently lying low]
Veteran MP who first entered the Commons again in 1983.  He backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election. Energetic member of St.Paulinus Church in Crayford. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Everitt, Ben [Currently lying low]
First to Westminster in 2019, however would comfortably lose his Milton Keynes North seat to Labour in any basic election reflecting the present opinion polls.  Presently seems quiet about the way forward for the PM.

Evans, Luke [Currently lying low]
Medical physician with a protected seat in Leicestershire.  First elected to Westminster in 2019.  Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public remark round the way forward for the PM.

Fletcher, Mark [Currently lying low]
Defeated Dennis Skinner in 2019, however would now comfortably lose his Bolsover seat to Labour in any election primarily based on present polling ranges.  Brexit supporter who describes himself as being pushed by his ‘working class British values’.  Quiet on partygate, albeit in previous instances has praised the PMs optimism and described him as a “good” politician and chief.

Ford, Vicky [Currently lying low]
Overseas workplace minister who backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.  Sits on the left of the Conservative occasion.  Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate, as but.

Freer, Mike [Currently lying low]
Present overseas workplace minister and former whip. Backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 Conservative occasion management.   Based mostly on present opinion polls ranges, he would doubtless lose his Finchley and Golders Inexperienced seat to the Lib Dems. In media interviews, seems to have refused to say if he believed the PMs place is ‘protected’.

French, Louie [Currently lying low]
New Conservative MP, elected in a December 2019 by-election in Previous Bexley and Sidcup.  Has already rebelled on Covid, however has not made any public touch upon partygate.

Francois, Mark [Currently lying low]
Feisty Brexiter and long run opponent of John Bercow. He as soon as submitted a letter of no confidence in Theresa Could and backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.  Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Frazer, Lucy  [Currently lying low]
Treasury Minister who works with Rishi Sunak.   Tipped for the cupboard at some point.  Backed Boris Johnson in 2019.   The Lib Dems would mount a detailed and probably profitable problem  in her South East Cambridgeshire seat primarily based on present opinion polling ranges. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Fysh, Marcus [Currently lying low]
Yeovil MP who supported Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.  Reacted positively to the appointment of fellow MP Andy Griffiths to assist with the Downing Road operation, tweeting, ‘Nice to see a Conservative appointed in Quantity 10’ (we presume a dig at Dominic Cummings). In September 2021, had written that the PM was ‘shedding sight’ of what it means to be a conservative.

Grayling, Chris [Currently lying low]
Former cupboard minister who backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.  Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Griffiths, Kate [Currently lying low]
Elected for Burton in 2019.  She has not commented publicly on the way forward for the PM immediately.  Nonetheless she has instructed her native ‘Instances, Echo, and Life’ media that, “I do know constituents are feeling very let down and indignant on the newest allegations, and I really feel the identical”, including, “If these discovered to have been writing the principles have been additionally breaking them, then additional motion will must be taken”.

Grundy, James [Currently lying low]
Crimson Wall MP elected for Leigh in Better Manchester in 2019.  Has a small majority and would comfortably lose his seat if any election was held primarily based on in the present day’s opinion polls.  Has criticized each Boris Johnson and Keir Starmer in the identical assertion for attending ingesting occasions with workers throughout lockdown.  Previous to the Grey report, he commented that he ‘will act accordingly on its findings’.

Henderson, Gordon [Currently lying low]
Brexiter MP from north Kent.  Defended the PM in relation to his assault on Sir Keir Starmer over Jimmy Saville saying, “My very own view is that, within the reduce and thrust of debate, it was completely respectable what he mentioned, as a result of being on the coalface, I’ve heard the chief of the opposition Keir Starmer, on a variety of events, boasting about when he was head of the CPS, prosecuting all types of various individuals. He didn’t prosecute them, however as head of the CPS, he took the credit score for having performed so”.

Holden, Richard [Currently lying low]
Crimson Wall MP for North West Durham with a small majority of 1,144. Would comfortably lose his seat in any basic election primarily based on present opinion polling.  Had beforehand mentioned that he was awaiting the end result of the Grey report, however extra not too long ago commented that the defection of Christian Wakeford to Labour had introduced an ‘aspect of calms and actuality’ to the state of affairs.

Hollobone, Philip [Currently lying low]
Brexiter on the appropriate of the Conservative occasion.  Particular Constable within the British Transport police.  Initially commented that ‘there can’t be one rule for the federal government and one for the remainder of us’ however has not made any latest touch upon the way forward for the PM.

Corridor, Luke [Currently lying low]
Former junior minister, who was reshuffled out of the federal government within the autumn of 2021.    Backed Sajid Javid within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.  Restricted public touch upon partygate except for saying that, ‘I share the anger about allegations’.

Huddleston, Nigel [Currently lying low]
Junior minister.   Backed Sajid Javid within the 2019 management election.  Member of the Tory Reform Group on the left of the Conservative occasion. In public has mentioned he shall be finding out occasions as they unfold and that the PM was proper to apologise.

Hunt, Jane [Currently lying low]
Loughborough MP who would comfortably lose her seat to Labour primarily based on present opinion polling ranges.  Is a PPS to Steve Barclay, the minister not too long ago been put in control of the Downing Road operation.

Johnson, Caroline [Currently lying low]
NHS guide.  Brexiter who supported her namesake Boris within the 2019 management election. In response to the Grey report, instructed the Home of Commons, that “I’m glad that the prime minister has come right here to apologise and to tackle board the suggestions, however I’m involved that that is taking time and a spotlight from key points”.

Johnston, David [Currently lying low]
Newly MP elected for Wantage in 2019.  His seat would doubtless expertise a knife edge contest with the Liberal Democrats in any election held on the idea of present opinion ballot ranges.  Has commented that he was not even going to attempt to defend ‘partygate’. He’s quoted on the web site of his native Herald newspaper as saying, “Everybody – whoever they’re – is entitled to have the total information made public about what they’re accused of after which be given the chance to take the motion they suppose they need to consequently.”

Jupp, Simon [Currently lying low]
Elected in 2019 for East Devon.  He’s a former particular advisor to Dominic Raab. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Kawczynski, Daniel [Currently lying low]
Brexiter who backed Johnson within the 2019 conservative management election.  Would narrowly lose his Shrewsbury seat to labour if an election was held on the idea of the present opinion polls. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

 Keegan, Gillian [Currently lying low]
Well being minister. On the left of the Conservative occasion having backed Rory Stewart after which Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 management contest.   Godmother to John Bercow’s kids. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Knight, Greg [Currently lying low]
Veteran MP, who was a whip within the Main authorities.  Brexiter who backed Johnson within the 2019 management election.  He has issued an announcement saying that he feels it’s “even handed” to await the end result of the inquiries quite than passing judgement or remark when solely a part of the circumstances have been reviewed.

Laing, Eleanor [Currently lying low]
Lengthy standing MP for Epping Forest.   Unlikely to remark publicly given her position because the Deputy Speaker of the Home of Commons.

Leadsom, Andrea [Currently lying low]
Former cupboard minister who left the cupboard in 2020.  Brexiter who closely disrupted Boris Johnson’s  ‘non beginning’ management bid in 2016 by declaring her personal candidacy.  Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate, however welcomed the appointment of the brand new authorities chief whip in February 2022.

Lewer, Andrew [Currently lying low]
Brexiter who backed Johnson within the 2019 management election.  Faraway from his put up as a PPS in 2020.  Beneath present polling, his Northampton South seat would comfortably be gained by labour.  Doesn’t seem to have made any assertion on the PM’s future.

Liddell-Grainger, Ian [Currently lying low]
Veteran MP from Somerset who’s a descendent of Queen Victoria.  Backed Boris within the 2019 management election. Has instructed his native Somerset County Gazette that the Downing Road events have been an ‘absolute breach of belief’ and ‘totally indefensible’, however has not but commented publicly on the way forward for the PM.

Lopez, Julia [Currently lying low]
Junior Minister and the MP for Hornchurch. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public feedback on partygate.

Lopresti, Jack [Currently lying low]
Brexiter who backed Boris within the 2019 management election.  Would comfortably lose his Filton and Bradley Stoke seat to Labour primarily based on present opinion polls. He’s married to Andrea Jenkyns, who serves within the authorities whips workplace.

Lord, Jonathan [Currently lying low]
Surrey MP and Brexiter who backed Dominic Raab within the 2019 management election. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Mackrory, Cherilyn [Currently lying low]
Brexit supporting MP from Falmouth and Truro.  Has mentioned she won’t be making any remark forward of the Met Police investigation, suggesting that individuals have been ‘no additional ahead’ after the Grey report. Would comfortably lose her seat to Labour if an election was held in the present day primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges.

Mayhew, Jerome [Currently lying low]
Barrister elected in 2019.  His father, Sir Patrick, was as soon as the lengthy standing Conservative MP for Tunbridge Wells. He has expressed his frustration that the Grey report has been ‘fettered by the Met police investigation’ however not commented publicly on the way forward for the PM.

McVey, Esther [Currently lying low]
Former cupboard minister who backed Johnson after her personal abortive bid within the 2019 Conservative management election.  Married to the Conservative MP, Philip Davies.  Reported to have been seen going into Downing Road not too long ago for a gathering with the PM as a part of a (probably wavering) group of MPs on the appropriate of the occasion.

Menzies, Mark [Currently lying low]
The MP for Flyde in Lancashire.  A remainer who supported Michael Gove within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon the way forward for the PM particularly.

Miller, Maria [Currently lying low]
Former Cupboard minister.   On the idea of present opinion polls, she would retain her Basingstoke constituency, however the battle with Labour could be very shut. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Mohindra, Gagan [Currently lying low]
Elected in 2019 for a protected seat in Hertfordshire.  He has since been appointed a PPS. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Mortimer, Jill [Currently lying low]
Conservative MP for Hartlepool having gained the seat in a well-known by-election throughout higher instances for the prime minister within the spring of 2021.  She has instructed her native newspaper that she doesn’t want to make any remark till the investigation into the problem has been concluded.

Mundell, David [Currently lying low]
Former secretary of state for Scotland who backed Michael Gove within the 2019 management election.  His Dumfries, Clydesdale and Tweedale seat could be comfortably misplaced to the SNP on the idea of present polling. Has referred to as for the total Grey report back to be printed, however not like another senior Scottish conservatives, has not gone any additional.   His son Oliver is a Member of the Scottish Parliament, and he’s considered one of simply 4 (from a complete of 31) Scottish MSPs who has additionally not but referred to as for the PM to go.

Murray, Sheryll [Currently lying low]
Cornish MP and Brexiter who backed Boris within the 2019 management contest, and who beforehand submitted a letter of no confidence in Theressa Could.  Her public place seems to be that she needs to attend for the total report earlier than making any additional remark.

Offord, Matthew [Currently lying low]
Backed Boris within the 2019 Conservative management election.  Would comfortably lose his Hendon seat to Labour if a basic election was held in the present day primarily based on present opinion polls. Initially described the occasion revelations as “horrendous” and mentioned the police ought to examine, however has not made any notable public touch upon the way forward for the PM.

Pawsey, Mark [Currently lying low]
Represents Rugby within the Commons, a seat as soon as held by his father.  Supported Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 Conservative management election.  Just lately rebelled on the Covid cross situation. Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Penning, Mike [Currently lying low]
Hemel Hemstead MP who supported Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative management election.  Past his title mistakenly showing on a associated Commons movement, doesn’t seem to have made any public touch upon the way forward for the PM.

Penrose, John [Currently lying low]
The MP for Weston-super-Mare. Married to Baroness Dido Harding who as soon as ran the federal government’s observe and hint programme.  Backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 management election. Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Pow, Rebecca [Currently lying low]
Junior minister, who backed Boris within the 2019 management election.  Would face a knife edge battle to carry off the Lib Dems in her Taunton Deane constituency at present opinion ballot ranges. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Prentis, Victoria [Currently lying low]
Farming Minister.  Like her Conservative MP father earlier than her, is seen as being on the left of the occasion.  Remainer who backed Rory Stewart within the 2019 Conservative management election.  Not essentially a ‘political bedfellow’ of Boris Johnson, though is taken into account a good friend of the Chancellor, Rishi Sunak. Would solely narrowly maintain off Labour in her beforehand protected Banbury seat at present opinion ballot ranges.  Has given a reasonably straight bat public response to partygate thus far, which doesn’t present any detailed perception into her emotions.

Pritchard, Mark [Currently lying low]
Supported Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative management election.  Clashed with John Bercow when he was Speaker. He’s quoted in his native Shropshire Star as saying that it’s proper that the Grey report shouldn’t prejudice any ongoing police investigation’ and that ‘extra definitive conclusions’ will are available in time. He not too long ago instructed his native newspaper that he welcomed the appointment of the brand new Chief Whip.

Pursglove, Tom [Currently lying low]
Junior justice minister. Brexiter who backed Johnson within the later phases of the 2019 Conservative management election.   Would lose his Corby seat to Labour if a basic election was held in the present day primarily based on present opinion polls. Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Robinson, Mary [Currently lying low]
Backed Sajid Javid within the 2019 management election. Would comfortably lose her Cheadle seat to the Lib Dems primarily based on the present ranges of Conservative polling. Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Rowley, Lee [Currently lying low]
Junior welfare minister who backed Boris within the 2019 management election.  Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Russell, Dean [Currently lying low]
Watford MP who would comfortably lose his Watford seat to Labour primarily based on the present ranges of Conservative polling. Chatting with the Watford Observer he welcomed the modifications that the PM has made at Downing Road and mentioned that he’ll now watch for the total particulars of the Met investigation

Skidmore, Chris [Currently lying low]
Supported Johnson within the 2019 management election, however was dismissed from his put up of universities minister in a subsequent Johnson reshuffle. The end in his Kingswood constituency could be on an absolute knife edge if a basic election mirrored the present opinion ballot ranges.  Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Smith, Henry [Currently lying low]
Backed Boris within the 2019 Conservative management election. Would lose his Crawley seat to Labour primarily based on the present ranges of Conservative polling.  Could have been irked by the prime minister seeming to giggle at his latest Commons name for Crawley to be made a metropolis.  Has famous publicly that investigations are being undertaken, however doesn’t appear to have gone any additional as but.

Stephenson, Andrew [Currently lying low]
Transport minister who backed Boris within the 2019 management election.  Would lose his Pendle seat to Labour primarily based on the present ranges of Conservative polling.  Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future, however tweeted to explain the February appointment of Steve Barclay to move up the No.10 operation as an ‘wonderful selection’.

Stevenson, Jane [Currently lying low]
Crimson wall MP elected in 2019, however who would lose her Wolverhampton North East seat to Labour in any basic election that mirrored the present opinion polls. Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future.

Throup, Maggie [Currently lying low]
Supported Matt Hancock within the 2019 management contest.  Vaccines minister who struggled with a hostile viewers on the BBC’s Query Time when defending the federal government in December. Just lately has solely commented on the necessity to watch for the end result of the Grey report.  Lead to her Erewash constituency could be on an absolute knife edge at present opinion ballot ranges.

Timpson, Edward [Currently lying low]
Former PPS to Theresa Could.  Son of Sir John Timpson from the Timpson retail group. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Wallis, Jamie [Currently lying low]
Conservative MP for Bridgend with a slim majority of 1,157.  Elected in 2019, however would simply lose his seat to Labour in any election primarily based on present opinion polling. Turned the primary MP to come back out as ‘trans’ in March 2022. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Watling, Giles [Currently lying low]
Supported Michael Gove within the 2019 management election. Has publicly referenced, ‘errors’ in judgment and describes himself as ‘let down by the entire thing’.  Though suggesting the PM has been placing in some good performances, he’s additionally quoted within the Essex County Customary on-line as saying,, “He should not get in the best way of excellent governance and should not make us unelectable – and the jury remains to be out on that – however we should watch for the police report.”

Williamson, Gavin [Currently lying low]
Sacked from the cupboard by Boris Johnson in 2021.  He was an lively a part of the PM’s management marketing campaign in 2019, having been seen as hostile to Boris again in 2016.  Newspapers have additionally reported that an occasion held on the Division for Schooling throughout his tenure as secretary of state can be coming underneath scrutiny. Mr Williamson doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

__________________________________________________ 

Block 5 – In all probability supportive

Andrew, Stuart  [Probable supporter]
New housing minister and former conservative deputy chief whip.  Backed Boris within the 2019 contest.  Would although comfortably lose his Pudsey seat in any election primarily based on in the present day’s polling.  Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Benton, Scott [Probable supporter]
Crimson Wall MP for Blackpool South.  Would comfortably lose his seat amidst present ranges of polling. Has attacked Christian Wakeford for defecting to Labour and criticised Keir Starmer for refusing to apologise after ingesting beer throughout lockdown.  Just lately accompanied Boris Johnson on a visit to Lancashire.

Badenoch, Kemi [Probable supporter]
Center rating minister.  She has not commented publicly on partygate from what we will seen.  Is assumed to assist the PM.

Berry, Jake [Probable supporter]
Former northern powerhouse minister who backed Boris Johnson in 2019, albeit who has been important of the federal government previously.   He would narrowly lose his Rossendale and Darwen seat to Labour underneath present ranges of opinion polling. Nonetheless he not too long ago instructed the Northern Agenda that Boris Johnson “nonetheless will get it proper” on the large calls and stays “an excellent chief”.

Bhatti, Saqib [Probable supporter]
Former Vote Depart board member, first elected for the protected seat of Meriden in 2019.  Hasn’t made any notably notable public feedback on partygate, however one of many first of the 2019 consumption of MPs to be appointed by Boris as a authorities PPS. On the day of the problem of a set penalty discover to the PM, he tweeted to say the PM and Chancellor have been proper to apologise by ‘they should be allowed to get on with the job’.

Browne, Anthony [Probable supporter]
Former Director of Financial Growth for Boris Johnson throughout his time as London mayor.  Would lose his South Cambridgeshire seat to the Liberal Democrats primarily based on present polling ranges. Similtaneously stating, that these ‘who make the principles must obey the principles’, he has welcomed the prime minister’s plans to reform Downing Road,

Burghart, Alex [Probable supporter]
Junior schooling minister, and former PPS to Boris Johnson in No.10 between 2019 and 2021.  Has not made any notable public feedback on the partygate affair.  Assumed to again the PM.

Money, Invoice [Probable supporter]
Veteran MP now in his eighties.  He has devoted a lot of his political profession to opposing the European Union.  Backed Boris within the 2019 contest.  Just lately appeared supportive to the PM within the Home of Commons.

Chope, Christopher [Probable supporter]
Independently minded veteran MP from Christchurch. On the appropriate of the occasion.  Just lately praised Johnson’s ‘fulsome apology’ over partygate.

Clarke, Theodora [Probable supporter]
Would narrowly retain her Stafford seat in any election held on present polling.  On the One Nation wing of the occasion. She has not made any notably notable public touch upon partygate. Niece by marriage of Jacob Rees-Mogg and reported to have been an excellent good friend of the prime minister’s spouse Carrie for over 10 years.

Coutinho, Claire [Probable supporter]
Elected in 2019 for protected seat in Surrey.  Tipped as a future rising star of the occasion, and has already been appointed as a authorities PPS by Boris Johnson.  Has been lively on the airwaves attacking claims by some MPs of bullying habits by authorities whips.

Cox, Geoffrey [Probable supporter]
Former Legal professional Common on the centre of out of doors earnings storm in 2021.  Supported Boris Johnson in 2019.  He has not made any notably notable public feedback on partygate.

Crosbie, Virginia [Probable supporter]
Anglesey MP, elected in 2019, who would comfortably lose her seat to Labour primarily based on present polling.  Appeared to offer a optimistic response to Johnson’s response to the Grey report telling Wales On-line, that “On Monday, the PM accepted the findings of the impartial Sue Grey report and has assured parliament and myself personally that he’ll act swiftly and decisively on her suggestions. I welcome this”.

Crouch, Tracey [Probable supporter]
Independently minded MP, who backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 management election.  A fellow animal welfare campaigner, she is claimed to be a protracted standing good friend of the prime minister’s spouse.  Crouch has been reported within the Day by day Mail as saying that Carrie was vastly supportive of her latest most cancers battle and ‘made some extent of remembering all her remedy dates and sending a message’.  On partygate, Crouch has mentioned that she is joyful to attend for the end result of the impartial investigation offered it isn’t ‘delayed’ and is ‘printed in full’. Accompanied the PM on a go to to a soccer membership in her constituency in February 2022, and has mentioned that outdoors of the Westminster bubble, Boris nonetheless has enchantment.

Davies, Mims  [Probable supporter]
Brexiter, and junior Minister who backed Boris Johnson within the later phases of the 2019 management election. Has acknowledged the general public anger prompted over partygate, however has not gone additional in criticizing the PM.  She has mentioned, “MPs heard the Prime minister rightly and sincerely supply a heartfelt apologies to the Home of Commons Chamber and the nation at PMQs. He personally took duty, as he has for all issues right now of coping with this devastating pandemic and unprecedented financial problem”.

Donelan, Michelle [Probable supporter]
Universities minister who was promoted by Johnson to attend Cupboard.  Her Chippenham seat just isn’t out of the attain of the Lib Dems. Informed BBC Radio 4’s Any Questions that she was ‘indignant’ about occasions in Downing Road however has pointed to different authorities achievements such because the rising financial system and the roles out there. Did again the PM on Twitter on the day he obtained his fastened penalty discover, however curiously was amongst one of many final cupboard ministers to take action.

Drax, Richard [Probable supporter]
Reportedly one of many richest MPs. Brexiter who backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 management contest. Weclomed the reshuffle in early February 2022, and mentioned he anticipated a ‘stream of blue narrative Conservative insurance policies’ to burst out of No.10.

Fletcher, Katherine [Probable supporter]
Crimson Wall MP elected for South Ribble in 2019, and one who might narrowly retain her seat in any election primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges.  Has mentioned that lots of her constituents thought the PM had been a ‘wally’, however on condition that “100,000 Russians have confirmed up” on Ukraine’s borders, they’re questioning why everyone seems to be “speaking about cake”…..

Fletcher, Nick [Probable supporter]
Crimson Wall MP elected for Don Valley in 2019, however who would lose the seat to Labour in any election held on present polling. In February instructed the Yorkshire Submit that, “I don’t imagine a management election, right now, is the perfect factor for the nation.”

Harris, Rebecca  [Probable supporter]
Brexiter and now authorities whip with now one of many most secure Conservative seats within the nation in South Essex.  No evident public feedback on partygate, however like different whips, assumed to be supportive of the PM.

Harrison, Trudy [Probable supporter]
Junior transport minister.  Former PPS to Boris Johnson.  Would lose her Copeland seat to Labour primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges. Has not commented on the partygate affair except for to assert that she herself didn’t attend any events.  Given her position for a variety of years as a part of Johnson’s inside circle in Downing Road, he’s assumed to again the PM.

Hayes, John  [Probable supporter]
Veteran MP who backed Michael Gove within the 2019 Conservative management election.  He instructed Spalding At this time on January 25 that individuals ought to preserve an “open thoughts” on the problem, including: “The prime minister has loads of qualities and the federal government has performed loads of good issues, at least the excellent vaccination programme.”

Henry, Darren  [Probable supporter]
Elected in 2019 because the MP for Broxtowe in Nottinghamshire.  Would comfortably lose the seat to Labour in a basic election that mirrored present opinion ballot standings. he has been quoted in his native Nottinghamshire Reside that, “We simply want to grasp that no person is ideal, individuals do make errors, individuals do must comply with the principles. However it’s actually, actually vital for the individuals on this nation that we deal with levelling up and issues that can make their lives completely different and I do suppose the PM and his cupboard has made an amazing begin in doing that.”

Hollinrake, Kevin [Probable supporter]
Backed Michael Gove within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.   Beforehand has commented that he didn’t suppose the PM had lied to Parliament, and in February issued an announcement to say that the PM at present has his assist.  Has additionally been on the airwaves.  He left within the caveat that he’ll evaluate his place following the conclusion of the police investigation, however on the day of the fastened penalty discover being issued tweeted, ‘Little doubt errors made, however don’t imagine they benefit a resignation of the PM or Chancellor’. The day after the police issued the PM with a set penalty discover, he wrote on Twitter, ‘Huge distinction between knowlingly and inadvertently deceptive the home’.

Hughes, Eddie [Probable supporter]
Junior minister promoted by the PM.  Brexiter who backed Boris Johnson within the later phases of the 2019 Conservative management election. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Jayawardena, Ranil [Probable supporter]
Formidable junior minister with a protected seat in rural Hampshire. Supported Boris Johnson within the 2019 management election. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate.

Jenkyns, Andrea [Probable supporter]
Beforehand wrote a letter of no confidence in Theresa Could. Brexiter who backed Boris within the later phases of the 2019 management election. The end in her Morley and Outwood constituency could be on a knife edge at present opinion ballot ranges. Has not made any notable public touch upon ‘partygate’, however as a part of the whips workplace is assumed to be behind the PM.

Jenrick, Robert [Probable supporter]
Former cupboard minister who was sacked by Boris in a 2021 reshuffle.  Was beforehand quoted by Lincolnshire Reside as saying that he continued to assist the prime minister, and that there was neither an inside nor exterior menace to Mr Johnson’s place. Reiterated his assist for the PM throughout an interview on BBC Radio 4’s ‘World at One’ the day after the issuing of a set penatly discover, saying the PM had received the large calls proper.

Johnson, Gareth [Probable supporter]
Authorities whip, who supported his namesake within the 2019 conservative management election.  Has not made any notable public touch upon partygate.  Nonetheless working within the whips workplace, he’s assumed to again the PM.

Jones, David [Probable supporter]
Brexiter who backed Johnson within the 2019 Conservative management election.  Would lose his Clwyd West seat to labour at present opinion polling ranges.   Has mentioned that his constituents are extra involved in regards to the ‘value of dwelling’ than they’re events about Downing Road. On Twitter he appeared to reward the restructuring of Downing Road tweeting, ‘The clear-out in Downing Road is welcome’ earlier than then saying, ‘it has go deeper and additional’. We don’t view this final remark as essentially ‘cryptic’, however it’s in all probability one to test again on in time.

Jones, Fay [Probable supporter]
As soon as labored as a researcher for Prince Charles. Gained her Brecon and Radnor seat off the Liberal Democrats in 2019.  Would narrowly maintain it if an election was held in the present day primarily based on present opinion  ballot ranges.  Has described the alleged rule breaking as ‘abysmal’, however has not publicly made any feedback questioning the PM’s place. On the day that the PM was fined, wrote on Twitter, ‘At this time’s revelations from the Met merely comply with on from the PM accepting duty, accepting and implementing change’.

Jones, Marcus [Probable supporter]
Has a senior position inside the authorities whips workplace.  Has not made any notable public touch upon partygate, however working within the whips workplace is assumed for now to again the PM.

MacKinlay, Craig [Probable supporter]
One time deputy chief of UKIP who backed Boris within the 2019 management election.   Based mostly on present opinion ballot ranges would expertise a  knife edge end result with Labour in his Thanet South seat on the Kent coast.  Advised that Mr Johnson has been ‘discovered wanting’ over the partygate affair, however has supported the federal government on the airwaves not too long ago, and confirmed he has not despatched in a letter of no confidence.

Mak, Alan [Probable supporter]
Appointed to the federal government whips workplace in September 2021 by Boris Johnson. Represents a protected seat on the Hampshire coast.  He has not made any public touch upon partygate, however as a part of the whips workplace is assumed to be behind the PM. Supported Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 management contest.

McPartland, Stephen [Probable supporter]
Independently minded MP who has been ready to vote in opposition to the federal government previously.  Backed Boris within the 2019 management election.  Just lately praised the PM on Twitter for calling the Labour chief a ‘lawyer not a pacesetter’.  He has additionally acknowledged that the Conservatives “have been getting on with the job”. Would lose his Stevenage seat to Labour if an election was held in the present day primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges.

McCartney, Jason [Probable supporter]
Independently minded MP who has rebelled in opposition to the federal government previously. His Colne Valley seat would comfortably be misplaced to Labour if an election was held in the present day primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges.  Has beforehand instructed the Yorkshire Submit that the PM was a politician who ‘manages to interrupt via all that bland and sterile kind of politics and join with individuals’, saying in January that the PM nonetheless had his backing.

Marson, Julie [Probable supporter]
Hertforshire MP elected in 2019. Beforehand wrote on Fb that she was ‘appalled’ by occasions at Downing Road.   She has been quoted not too long ago in her native Bishop Stortford Unbiased newspaper saying that Boris Johnson enjoys her ‘full assist’, albeit she has left it on the market, that she needs to see the outcomes of the ‘ongoing police investigation’. Reportedly has a blonde cockapoo pet canine referred to as Boris.

Morris, David [Probable supporter]
Achieved music author who backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 management contest.  Would comfortably lose his Morecambe and Lunesdale seat to Labour if an election was held on the again of present polling.  Does although look like backing the PM, suggesting {that a} ‘beer occasion’ attended by Keir Starmer is one thing that the police ought to think about .

Mumby-Croft, Holly[Probable supporter
Independent minded MP for Scunthorpe, elected in 2019.  She voted for the extension of the free school meals scheme.  Would comfortably lose her seat to Labour if an election was held on the back of current polling.   Has called for the political debate to move beyond the partygate affairs albeit has acknowledged that ‘we must now wait for the police to finish their investigation without interference’.

Norman, Jesse [Probable supporter]
Left the federal government in 2021.  College good friend of Boris Johnson.  Served as an advisor to Boris throughout his time as London mayor.  Has been quiet over partygate however with out proof on the contrary, is assumed to nonetheless assist his previous good friend.

O’Brien, Neil [Probable supporter]
The primary from the 2019 batch of newly elected MPs to be appointed to the federal government by the PM,  which definitely counts as notable recognition from Mr Johnson.  Beforehand the PM’s levelling up advisor.   Has thus far simply given the flat response of ‘carefully following developments’ and ‘having concern’ over partygate.

Opperman, Man[Probable supporter]
Hexham MP and junior minister who supported Michael Gove within the 2019 conservative management election.   Tragically his new born child twins died in the course of the pandemic, and he was unable to go and see his spouse in hospital.  This was on the time of a few of the alleged occasions in Downing Road.   He instructed the BBC in relation to partygate that, “I really feel fairly emotional about this”.  In statements which have gone a lot additional than most authorities ministers he mentioned the PM “wanted to vary his methods”.  The end in his Hexham seat could be on a knife edge on the present degree of Conservative opinion polling. In April 2022, after the PM was issued with a set penalty discover, he was although making extra supportive noises. In a protracted twitter assertion he mentioned the PM had his assist.

Quin, Jeremy [Probable supporter]
Defence Minister.  Responded to partygate by saying, “The prime minister was completely proper to apologise very clearly in PMQs. There’s a full investigation into the allegations and I’m eager for it to finish its work as quickly as potential.”

Rutley, David [Probable supporter]
Junior minister and Cheshire MP.  Is quoted on Cheshire Reside as saying, Boris Johnson has taken’full duty’ for the No 10 occasion and mentioned he was proper to apologise.

Saxby, Selaine [Probable supporter]
Devon MP, elected in 2019. Has been quoted in her native North Devon Gazette as saying she was ‘very upset’ at what occurred in No.10, however in the mean time she doesn’t suppose ‘that is the appropriate second to provoke a ‘No Confidence’ vote within the Prime Minister’.

Seeley, Bob [Probable supporter]
Isle of Wight MP. Has mentioned that the PM has apologised and hoped that he’ll be taught classes.   He was quoted within the Isle of Wight County Press saying, “While not downplaying this, I feel a way of proportion is effective”, including, “I’d a lot quite parliament and authorities centered on delivering priorities which are vital for our nation and for the Island, and that’s what I’m centered on”. Supported Michael Gove within the 2019 conservative management election.

Smith, Royston [Probable supporter]
Brexiter who backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 Conservative management election. Would comfortably lose his Southampton Itchen seat to Labour primarily based on the present ranges of Conservative polling.  Has beforehand expressed curiosity in who’s behind all the federal government leaks.  Though ready for the findings of the assorted inquiries, seems to be giving some assist to the PM, having been quoted within the Southern Day by day Echo as saying, “The prime minister wants to elucidate what he is aware of, apologise if mandatory and transfer on. I feel most individuals would have understood that”.

Solloway, Amanda [Probable supporter]
Authorities whip. Would comfortably lose her Derby North seat to Labour primarily based on the present ranges of Conservative polling. Has welcomed the PM’s apology, telling Derbyshire Reside that, “Beneath our prime minister, our authorities has delivered on Brexit and an incredible vaccine rollout and continues to deal with delivering the quickest rising financial system in G7 regardless of the pandemic”. The day after the fastened penalty discover was issued, detailed on Twitter that the PM nonetheless had her assist ‘getting on with the job’

Stevenson, John [Probable supporter]
Supported Michael Gove within the 2019 management election.  Would lose his Carlisle seat to Labour in a basic election primarily based on the present ranges of opinion polls.  Beforehand mentioned within the media that he would watch for the end result of the Grey report, detailing that he was angered by the partygate experiences.  Nonetheless publicly commented in January that there was no urge for food amongst Tories to vary chief.

Stewart, Iain [Probable supporter]
Junior Scottish Workplace minister who backed Michael Gove within the 2019 Conservative management election.  Would lose his Milton Keynes South seat to Labour in any Common election primarily based on the present ranges of opinion polls. Doesn’t seem to have commented publicly on the PM’s future, however did retweet one thing welcoming the appointment of Guto Harri because the PMs new spin physician. In February, he additionally instructed the Scotsman newspaper that it was nonsense that the PM was not welcome in Scotland.

Swayne, Desmond [Probable supporter]
Veteran MP and lockdown sceptic from the New Forest.  He sits on the appropriate of the Conservative occasion and is an arch lockdown sceptic.   Has beforehand detailed his “excessive concern” over “this very sorry state of affairs”. Nonetheless after Johnson introduced all covid restricitons would quickly finish, he appeared extra optimistic. Talking on tenth February, he mentioned he was personally clear that the PM ‘was not a liar’ and that he didn’t settle for the quite dodgy premise that Johnson is ‘limping alongside’.

Tomlinson, Michael [Probable supporter]
Authorities whip who backed Boris within the 2019 management contest. Has not made any notable public touch upon ‘partygate’, however as a part of the whips workplace is assumed to be behind the PM.

Tracey, Craig [Probable supporter]
Brexiter who backed Boris within the 2019 management contest. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate. Nonetheless he retweeted a tweet from the Media Guido account which requested why cake-gate now threatened to deliver down the federal government, when the Instances newspaper first revealed it over a yr in the past.  This will likely thus be a ‘helpful inform’ as to the place Mr Tracey sits on present issues.

Vickers, Matt [Probable supporter]
Elected in 2019, however would comfortably lose his Stockton South seat to Labour primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges.  Former constituency agent to Rishi Sunak.   Seems publicly supportive of the PM having instructed Channel 4 that ‘Teesside’s received lots to be joyful about’.

Vickers, Martin [Probable supporter]
Brexiter who backed Boris within the 2019 management election.   He instructed the Observer that he despaired on the ‘administration construction’ in Downing Road such that the occasions underneath investigation may have occurred.  He has additionally claimed that the PM ought to have left the Downing Road backyard in Could 2020 as quickly as he arrived. He has although additionally claimed this isn’t the appropriate time for a management election.

Villiers, Theresa [Probable supporter]
Former lengthy standing cupboard minister who was dismissed from the Cupboard in 2020.  Brexiter who backed Boris in 2019.  Her more and more marginal Chipping Barnet seat would virtually definitely be misplaced to Labour in any election primarily based on in the present day’s polling outcomes.  Has although praised the PM for his work on the vaccination programme and mentioned within the Commons that anybody ‘taking a view’ on the PM ‘should’ take that under consideration.

Walker, Robin [Probable supporter]
Junior minister who supported Sajid Javid within the 2019 management election.  Like his father, the one time Cupboard minister and former MP for Worcester, Peter Walker, he sits on the left of the Conservative occasion.   Would lose his Worcester seat to Labour in any election that mirrored present opinion ballot numbers.  Has although reacted reasonably to the partygate affair saying, “I feel a few of the political assaults try to indicate this was going intentionally behind individuals’s backs and laughing at individuals – I don’t suppose that’s what it was”.  Suggesting that a few of the wilder accusations will end up to not be true, he instructed Worcester Information that, “It was motivated by attempting to maintain morale up of workers who have been working very laborious via the pandemic. It’s proper they’ve accepted what occurred was not proper”.

Webb, Suzanne [Probable supporter]
Midlands MP for Stourbridge, elected in 2019.  Stated within the Commons, after the Grey Report, that, “These reverse, have used up far an excessive amount of parliamentary time debating this.

Whately, Helen [Probable supporter]
Media savvy junior minister on the treasury underneath Rishi Sunak.  Kent MP who backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 management marketing campaign.  Initially made little notable public touch upon partygate, however when her boss Rishi Sunak and the PM have been issued police fines, she joined different ministers on Twitter to verify that each nonetheless loved her assist.

Wiggin, Invoice [Probable Supporter]
Lengthy standing MP from Herefordshire.  Backed Boris within the 2019 contest. In the beginning of February 2022, he instructed Speak Radio that he didn’t really feel the time had but been reached to vary chief, and that, “My view is that Boris is doing what he’s purported to do.”

Wild, James [Probable supporter]
Elected in 2019. Has publicly commented that he’s not calling on the PM to stop at this stage. Married to Baroness Evans who sits within the Johnson cupboard as chief of the Home of Lords

Wooden, Mike [Probable supporter]
Midlands MP who backed Boris within the later a part of the 2019 management election and is a authorities PPS.  Beforehand recommended that the Grey report would wish to indicate that the PM took clear and deliberate actions to mislead Parliament for something to ‘essentially’ change for Mr Johnson.

__________________________________________________

Block 6 – Publicly backing the PM

Adams, Nigel [Publicly backing the PM]
Minister with out portfolio who was not too long ago appointed to attend Cupboard.  Backed Boris in 2019, having needed him to face in 2016.   Thought to be a part of Johnson’s inside circle.

Afriyie, Adam  [Publicly backing the PM]
MP for the protected seat of Windsor.  As soon as thought-about a stalking horse to David Cameron, however doesn’t seem to have such ‘beef’ with Boris.   Has responded reasonably to the partygate affair, quoted within the Maidenhead Advertiser as saying, “Persons are rightly involved about all of the rumours about events and the prime minister was proper to elucidate and apologise”, earlier than including, “He has performed wonders for this nation with our vaccine rollout and protecting individuals in work and he has my full assist in levelling up our nation”.

Allan, Lucy [Probable supporter]
Shropshire MP whose Telford seat could be topic to a detailed end result with Labour at present polling ranges.   PPS to Jacob Rees-Mogg. Ms Allan had beforehand described the PM’s place as ‘terminal’ in a letter to a constituent, however has since rowed again saying that’s not the case. Following his intervention, Ms Allan criticised the previous Conservative PM chief Sir John Main, saying in a tweet: “Making an attempt to take away an elected PM with an enormous private mandate, mid-term, is anti-democratic”.

Anderson, Stuart [Publicly backing the PM]
Crimson Wall MP who received Wolverhampton South in 2019, however who would simply lose the seat in any election primarily based on present polling.  Has been lively on the airwaves in publicly supporting the prime minister, and believes he’ll win the following election. Has continued to supply the PM his assist after the issuing of a Fastened Penalty Discover.

Argar, Edward [Publicly backing the PM]
Well being minister via the pandemic.  Backed Johnson within the later phases of the 2019 Conservative management election.  Has been defending the PM on the airwaves together with a heated alternate on ITVs’ Good Morning Britain.

Bacon, Richard [Publicly backing the PM]
Norfolk MP, who supported Michael Gove quite than Johnson in 2019.   Independently minded.  One of many few MPs who as soon as supported a movement of no confidence in former Commons Speaker, Michael Martin. Nonetheless in February he got here out preventing for Boris Johnson, telling Newsnight that the prime minister has performed a “actually good job” in “in all probability the best disaster we’ve confronted in over 100 years”.

Baynes, Simon [Publicly backing the PM]
MP for Clwyd South elected in 2019.  Initially in a joint assertion together with his neighbouring Wrexham MP, he mentioned that he welcomed the PM’s apology however that it was ‘not applicable’ to make judgements till the findings of the Metropolitan Police Investigation’ have been recognized.  Has although since tweeted that the appointment of Guto Harri as the federal government’s new Director of Comms was nice information and indicators of how far and quick the PM was transferring. After the problem of a set penalty discover to the PM, he tweeted to say, ‘The matter has been appropriately handled and now we should always let him proceed to supply the excellent management he has proven via the Ukraine disaster’.

Barclays, Stephen [Publicly backing the PM]
Cupboard minister, not too long ago appointed chief of workers in Quantity 10.  Backed Johnson in 2019.

Blunt, Crispin [Publicly backing the PM]
Veteran and independently minded MP for Reigate.  Supported Johnson within the 2019 management contest.  Has beforehand recommended that in lots of houses and companies the Covid guidelines might have been damaged. Informed the BBC that it’s his “departure level” that the allegations levelled at Boris Johnson aren’t sufficient to topple a main minister.

Bone, Peter [Publicly backing the PM]
Typically outspoken social conservative.  Backed Boris within the 2019 management contest. Nonetheless behind the prime minister having not too long ago defended him on ITV’s Good Morning Britain.  Has accused the media of “attempting to take the prime minister down over a bit of cake”.  Informed LBC that he discovered his constituents have been in ‘assist’ of the prime minister. On the day that the PM obtained a police positive, tweeted to say that Boris ‘is an distinctive PM’ who ‘received Brexit performed, took us via the Covid pandemic, and is now main Europe’s response to the conflict in Ukraine’. He reaffirmed his ‘100% assist’ for Boris.

Braverman, Suella [Publicly backing the PM]
Legal professional Common within the authorities.  Brexiter who backed Boris Johnson in 2019.  Praised the PM not too long ago writing, “Received Brexit performed. World-beating vaccine roll-out. 400,000 extra jobs than pre-Covid. Maintaining faculties open & kids studying. Constructing again higher for all. All because of the management of Boris Johnson”.  We are able to assume she remains to be very a lot on facet.

Bristow, Paul [Publicly backing the PM]
Former lobbyist, who would comfortably lose his Peterborough seat to Labour if there was an election primarily based on present polling. Was quoted within the Day by day Mirror as saying that he had left a Commons backbench assembly with the Prime minister on Monday night time, ‘completely pumped’ and that no person had referred to as for Mr Johnson to go.

Burns, Conor [Publicly backing the PM]
Northern Eire minister who was PPS to Boris Johnson when he was overseas secretary.  Self described good friend of the PM, and arguably probably the most seen face on the media at present defending Boris Johnson.  Advised that Boris was ‘ambushed by a cake’ at one Downing Road gathering.   Election night time in his Bournemouth West seat would definitely be uncomfortable, if not but terminal, at present polling ranges.

Clarke-Smith, Brendan [Publicly backing the PM]
Crimson wall Conservative MP for Bassetlaw.  Gained the seat in 2019 and should retain it primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges.  Brexiter, on the appropriate of the Conservative occasion.  Just lately praised the PM for his ‘unbelievable’ efficiency at PMQs. On the day that Boris obtained his fastened penalty discover, took to Twitter to level to a variety of fastened penalty notices obtained for site visitors offences by opposition MPs. Might be thought to be a vigorous Boris supporter.

Clarke, Simon [Publicly backing the PM]
Cupboard minister from Teeside.  As soon as submitted a letter of no confidence in Theresa Could.  Boris Johnson loyalist, who instructed Teeside Reside that he completely stood by the PM, describing him as a “unbelievable pressure for good in areas of the north”.

Clarkson, Chris [Publicly backing the PM]
Crimson Wall MP who has a majority of simply 663 in Heywood and Middleton.  Seen as being on the left of the Conservative occasion. Following latest workers departures in Downing Road, tweeted, “Earlier this week the PM promised the parliamentary occasion swift and decisive change at No.10 to get us again heading in the right direction and centered on individuals’s priorities – happy to see true to his phrase he’s delivering”. Backed the PM on Twitter on the day the PM obtained a set penalty discover.

Cleverly, James [Publicly backing the PM]
Just lately appointed Europe minister, who served on the London Meeting when Boris was mayor.  Backed Johnson within the 2019 contest.  Has defended the PM on the airwaves saying he’s centered on the job.

Coffey, Therese [Publicly backing the PM]
Cupboard minister who backed Boris within the 2019 contest.   Has described Johnson’s apology as ‘honest’ and mentioned that the PM has labored ‘tirelessly’ to deal with covid striving to guard lives and livelihoods.

Collins, Damian [Publicly backing the PM]
Remainer representing Folkestone in Kent.  Chair of a commons choose committee (usually it appears an indication of hassle for the PM when it comes to this listing), this time on tradition.  He backed Boris within the 2019 management election. He was not too long ago quoted in Kent On-line as saying, “I will determine what to do when we’ve all seen that report. I additionally hope that everybody in authorities displays on the necessity for public confidence”. The day after the PM was fined by the police, he appeared to have turn out to be extra supportive, breaking cowl early on Twitter to state, “The events are over and it’s time to get on with the job. He has my full assist”.

Courts, Robert [Publicly backing the PM]
Junior transport minister who backed Boris within the 2019 contest.  Has defended the PM on the airwaves, telling the BBC that it was vital for the nation to “rally behind” what the Prime minister has achieved throughout his premiership.

Davies, David [Publicly backing the PM]
Wales Workplace minster who backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 management contest.  Has publicly mentioned the PM has his confidence.   The end in his Monmouth seat could be tight if an election was held primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges. After the issuing of the police fines to the PM and Chancellor, he commented on Twitter that it was ‘Time to maneuver on’.

Dines, Sarah [Publicly backing the PM]
PPS to Boris Johnson and his parliamentary ‘bag service’ within the Home of Commons.  One MP you may assume he can depend on.

Docherty, Leo [Publicly backing the PM]
Junior defence minister. Former military officer who backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.  Has been reported as calling David Davis a ‘traitor’ for his Commons assault on the PM.

Dorries, Nadine [Publicly backing the PM]
Cuture secretary. Lengthy standing Johnson loyalist who actively helps the PM on radio and TV.  He can depend on her assist come what might.

Double, Steve [Publicly backing the PM]
Appointed to the federal government whips workplace by Boris Johnson in 2021.  Beforehand submitted a letter of no confidence, but it surely was in 2018, in opposition to Theresa Could. Stays supportive of Boris.  Following the Grey Report, instructed Cornwall Reside that, “While the report is important of a few of what happened I don’t see something in it which means the PM ought to resign. He has dedicated to vary the issues beneficial within the report and I imagine he must be allowed to make these modifications”. Issued an announcement after the issuing of fastened penalty notices to say the PM, ‘continues to have my full assist’.

Dowden, Oliver [Publicly backing the PM]
Appointed Conservative occasion chairman by Boris Johnson and has been defending the PM on the airwaves.   Beforehand labored in Downing Road for David Cameron.  Supported Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative management election.

Duddridge, James [Publicly backing the PM]
Former junior overseas workplace minister from Southend East who left the federal government in 2021 however was appointed as a PPS to Boris Johnson in 2022.  Backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 management election. Has recommended MPs in Westminster have misplaced the plot telling Sky Information, “Individuals say to me ‘for God’s sake, inform Boris simply to get on and run the nation. That’s what’s wanted”. One of many few Conservative MPs to again the PM on Twitter very quickly after he obtained a set penalty discover.

Ellis, Michael [Publicly backing the PM]
Newly appointed minister for the cupboard workplace and paymaster basic within the authorities, who has defended Boris Johnson on the Commons dispatch field saying the ‘Prime minister goes nowhere’.  Supported Boris Johnson within the 2019 management election, and on Twitter gave the PM his ‘100% assist’ after the police positive.  Would lose his Northampton North seat to Labour in any Common election reflecting the present opinion ballot ranges.

Eustice, George [Publicly backing the PM]
Setting secretary who has been supportive of the PM on the airwaves. Thought of a Johnson loyalist. Initially backed Michael Gove within the 2019 management election.  Would lose his Camborne and Redruth seat in Cornwall to Labour if a basic election was held on the idea of present opinion ballot ranges.

Fabricant, Michael [Publicly backing the PM]
Lengthy standing MP who backed Michael Gove within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.  Beforehand voted in opposition to John Main and Theresa Could in no confidence votes, however not this time…  He has praised the PM for delivering Brexit and the perfect vaccination programme in Europe, saying of Johnson, “He delivers and has my full assist.” After the police positive, he described the state of affairs as ‘grim’ however added that Boris Johnson is “not the kind of man” to deceive the general public. Fabricant has mentioned he doesn’t imagine the PM mislead parliament.

Firth, Anna [Publicly backing the PM]
The Conservative occasion’s latest MP, having been elected in February 2022 to succeed Sir David Amess in Southend West.  Commenting on the PM in relation to her election marketing campaign, she is quoted as saying within the Southend Echo that, “The individuals I spoke to really feel he’s being victimised and there’s a vendetta to deliver Boris down.”

Fox, Liam [Publicly backing the PM]
Former Conservative occasion chairman and GP.  Brexiter, who backed Jeremy Hunt quite than Boris within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.   Beforehand mentioned he was ‘extraordinarily cross’ and ‘upset’ on the allegations albeit needed the PM to remain on.  Submit the publication of the Grey report has urged fellow Conservatives to get on with the large points, calling for political stability and saying this was not the time for a management election.

Fuller, Richard [Publicly backing the PM]
Member of the Tory Reform Group, who sits on the left of the Conservative occasion.  Has mentioned he doesn’t just like the phrase ‘Huge Canine’, however in any other case instructed the Bedford Unbiased that, “I imagine the prime minister does perceive the harm that has been prompted and that, as he mentioned in the present day, he accepts the necessity for important change. This should now be performed. I imagine it’s proper that he’s given the chance to implement these modifications and to proceed to guide the nation.”

Gibson, Peter [Publicly backing the PM]
Crimson Wall MP elected in 2019, who would doubtless lose his Darlington seat to Labour if an election mirrored present opinion ballot ranges.  Not like a few of the supposed ‘pork pie’ plotters from close by constituencies, he’s seen as actively supporting the PM.  After latest Downing Road workers departures, tweeted, “Nice to see the change that Boris Johnson promised in Downing Road being delivered.”

Goodwill, Robert [Publicly backing the PM]
Former minister, who backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.   Former MEP.  After the publication of the Grey report, confirmed to his native Scarborough Information that the prime minister nonetheless had his assist, including “It’s not within the pursuits of the nation for this to tug on”. His Scarborough and Whitby seat could be within the stability on the present degree of opinion polling.

Gove, Michael [Publicly backing the PM]
Levelling up secretary and lengthy standing cupboard minister.  Has been backing the prime minister on the airwaves and there have additionally been media experiences that he has been out ringing MPs to positive up assist for the PM.  Different experiences have recommended that he has been out once more on “management maneovures”, regardless of his two earlier failed bids.

Griffith, Andrew [Publicly backing the PM]
Former Sky TV finance director, who was appointed as minister for coverage by Boris Johnson in February 2022.   Johnson loyalist who lent Boris use of his Westminster home within the 2019 management marketing campaign.  Has a protected seat in West Sussex.

Gullis, Jonathan [Publicly backing the PM]
Brexiter. Crimson Wall MP for Stoke on Trent North.  Based mostly on present opinion polling, Labour would doubtless regain his seat in any basic election held in the present day.  Is although a loyal supporter of the PM who has beforehand recommended on Twitter that those that had submitted no confidence letters have been now withdrawing them.

Halfon, Robert [Publicly backing the PM]
Unbiased minded MP, who backed Sajid Javid within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election. Has claimed that everybody has been ‘let down’ by the partygate affair, however has been quoted within the Day by day Categorical as saying he’s not ‘agitating’ for the Prime minister’s elimination, saying that to vary a authorities within the midst of a pandemic could be folly. He additionally has mentioned that the general public wouldn’t respect us for this bloodletting.  Supporting the PM he mentioned, “I really feel I owe Boris some residual loyalty. He received the 2019 election, received Brexit performed and rolled out a worldbeating vaccine and booster programme. Even after Covid, our financial system is rising strongly and the roles miracle has returned”.

Hancock, Matthew [Publicly backing the PM]
Former excessive profile well being secretary who resigned from the federal government in 2021.   Commenting on partygate he instructed Sky Information that ‘finally the federal government has received the large calls proper’ and that he nonetheless thinks Boris Johnson has the ‘ethical authority’ to guide the nation. Gave the PM his backing as soon as once more after Johnson was fined by the police.

Fingers, Greg [Publicly backing the PM]
Enterprise minister.  On the free market proper of the Conservative occasion.  Backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.  Has although been on the airwaves backing the PM and saying he was ‘taking cost’ after committing to modifications following the Grey Report.

Hart, Simon [Publicly backing the PM]
Secretary of state for Wales, who backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.  Has been defending the Prime minister on the airwaves.

Heappey, James [Publicly backing the PM]
Defence minister, whose Wells seat in Somerset could be getting ready to being received by the Liberal Democrats at present opinion ballot ranges. Backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative management election.  Was himself a former PPS to Johnson in Quantity 10.  He has defended the PM on the airwaves saying he has a busy schedule bouncing round from one factor to a different in “5 minute blocks”.  Has mentioned he needs Boris to guide the occasion into the following election.

Heaton-Harris, Chris [Publicly backing the PM]
The brand new authorities chief whip.   Brexiter who supported Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative management election.  Even earlier than his appointment, he was reported within the media as being lively attempting to shore up assist for the PM inside the parliamentary occasion.

Hinds, Damian [Publicly backing the PM]
Dwelling workplace minister, who really beforehand resigned from the Cupboard when Boris Johnson first turned prime minister.   Supported Michael Gove within the 2019 management contest.  Nonetheless he was extra not too long ago introduced again into the federal government by Johnson.   Has mentioned he has been ‘shocked’ by the allegations however has defended the report of the PM on the airwaves telling ITV’s GMTV in January that he nonetheless had confidence within the PM.

Holloway, Adam [Publicly backing the PM]
Brexiter who backed Boris Johnson within the 2019 Conservative occasion management election.  Quoted within the Guardian describing the PM as “a extremely exceptional man, who received an 80-seat majority”.  Says  that he believed the PM when he mentioned he “didn’t realize it was a celebration” Mr Holloway has commented in relation to the controversy in regards to the PM’s future that ‘I don’t imagine in trial by tv’. For many who don’t know, he was as soon as a former TV reporter himself with ITN.

Jack, Alister [Publicly backing the PM]
Secretary of state for Scotland. Can be in peril of shedding his Dumfries and Galloway seat to the SNP if an election was held primarily based on present opinion polls.  Has beforehand commented in relation to partygate that ‘when the cat’s away, the mice have been taking part in’ and has described Boris as an ‘wonderful prime minister’.

Javid, Sajid [Publicly backing the PM]
Well being secretary and former chancellor.  Has been defending the Prime minister on the airwaves over the past month, and comfirms that the PM has his assist. A possible successor if Mr Johnson was to fall.

Jenkinson, Mark [Publicly backing the PM]
Brexiter and purple wall MP who gained Workington in 2019, however who would comfortably lose the seat to Labour  in any basic election held on the idea of present opinion ballot ranges.   Tweeted to say that each he, and the vast majority of his constituents, are behind the PM and that that is an ‘thrilling interval for Britain’.  Informed ITV information that he didn’t suppose he could be being requested about the way forward for a PM in relation to a set penalty discover, if the discover was say, for parking a automotive on a purple line. On the day that the PM obtained a positive, tweeted that Boris Johnson ‘is the de facto chief of the free world’.

Johnson, Boris [Publicly backing the PM]
One MP we will have absolute certainty on.

Kwarteng, Kwasi [Publicly backing the PM]
Enterprise secretary and very long time Boris Johnson ally.  Has defended the PM on the airwaves saying that he doesn’t settle for that it’s ‘inevitable’ that Mr Johnson shall be pressured to stop.

Leigh, Edward [Publicly backing the PM]
Veteran MP on the appropriate of the Conservative occasion.  Backed Michael Gove within the 2019 management election. Issued an announcement in February that mentioned, “Given the grave issues going through us nationally and internationally, I don’t suppose there’s something to be gained by changing the prime minister at the moment, nor do I feel it’s a proportionate response to occasions that happened within the prime minister’s home together with his personal colleagues.

Lewis, Brandon [Publicly backing the PM]
Secretary of state for Northern Eire.  Has backed the PM on the airwaves claiming he’s honest in his apology and that, ‘we’ve received the appropriate individual main the nation’.

Longhi, Marco [Publicly backing the PM]
Brexiter who gained his Dudley North seat with an enormous majority in 2019.  Even on present polls may probably maintain the seat in any basic election held in the present day,. Has not commented publicly on partygate however did retweet a message from fellow Midlands MPs and Boris backer, Stuart Anderson, by which he urged MPs to ‘get on with the job’. On the day the PM obtained a set penalty discover, he tweted to say, ‘The PM has my full assist’.

Maclean, Rachel [Publicly backing the PM]
Conservative MP for Redditch who supported Michael Gove within the 2019 Conservative management election. Has defended the PM on the airwaves, telling the BBC’s Politics Reside present that, “No, after all I don’t suppose he ought to resign. That is clearly an opposition-driven marketing campaign.”

Malthouse, Package [Publicly backing the PM]
Policing minister.  Previously deputy Mayor of London underneath Boris Johnson between 2008 and 2016.  Has publicly tweeted assist for the PM saying that he has ‘delivered’.

Mann, Scott [Publicly backing the PM]
Authorities whip. Brexiter who backed Johnson within the later a part of the 2019 Conservative management election. Quoted in Cornwall Reside as saying of the Grey Report that, “While the report is important of a few of what happened I don’t see something in it which means the PM ought to resign”.

McCartney, Karl [Actively backing the PM]
Former Justice of the Peace.  Brexiter. His Lincoln seat could be comfortably misplaced to Labour if an election was held in the present day primarily based on present opinion ballot ranges.  From his Twitter exercise, he seems to be backing the PM.   In February, McCartney instructed BBC Radio Lincolnshire that the partygate situation was not developing on the doorsteps, including that individuals need the federal government to ‘get on with the job’, and that that is what Boris Johnson and everyone else in authorities are doing. Confirmed on Twitter after the police fines have been issued, that the PM nonetheless continues to have his ‘full assist’.

Milling, Amanda [Actively backing the PM]
Overseas workplace minister, and former Conservative occasion chair who labored carefully with the PM for a few years.  Supported Boris within the 2019 management election. After the fastened penalty discover was issued she wrote on Twitter, “The PM’s the appropriate individual to guide the nation and deal with getting on with the job of delivering for the British individuals and defending Ukraine from the tyranny of Russia”.

Morris, James [Actively backing the PM]
Authorities whip.  Backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 management election.  He’s quoted in his native Halesowen Information as welcoming the PM’s response to the Grey inquiring, and was seen praising him for his ‘robust management’.

Morrissey, Pleasure [Actively backing the PM]
Elected in 2019 for the protected seat of Beaconsfield.  Within the aftermath of Downing Road workers departures, tweeted her assist saying, “The PM promised modifications to the No10 operation earlier this week, glad to see him delivering tonight”. Just lately appointed a PPS to the PM.

Morton, Wendy [Actively backing the PM]
Transport minister who supported Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 management election. Doesn’t seem to have made any notable public touch upon partygate, however was promoted to Minister of State within the February 2022 authorities reshuffle. Quickly after the PM was issued a set penalty discover she tweted to say, ‘We have to keep focussed on Ukraine and delivering for the individuals of the UK. He’s the appropriate individual to do that for our nation’.

Murrison, Andrew [Actively backing the PM]
Former surgeon commander within the Royal Navy. Backed Boris within the 2019 Conservative management election, and in his abortive 2016 bid.  Writing within the Guardian, he has accepted that the lads in gray fits may name time on the PM’s premiership, however describes himself as a ‘serial Boris supporter.

Nici, Lia [Actively backing the PM]
Crimson Wall MP for Nice Grimsby.  Seen as a staunch defender of the PM who lent some assist on Radio 5 Reside to the PMs assault on Sir Keir Starmer in relation to his time on the Crown Prosecution Service.  Simply appointed as a PPS to the PM. Opinion polls counsel she might narrowly retain her seat if there was a basic election held in the present day.

Patel, Priti [Publicly backing the PM]
Dwelling Secretary who was appointed and has been subsequently defended by Boris Johnson.  Is seen as a robust Boris ally.

Philp, Chris [Publicly backing the PM]
Junior minister, who backed Sajid Javid within the 2019 Conservative management election.  He has defended the prime minister beforehand, telling the BBC in January that, “The rationale that the prime minister initiated an investigation with an neutral civil servant with such a excessive fame is to ensure all the information do come out”.

Pincher, Christopher [Publicly backing the PM]
Deputy chief whip, who backed Boris within the 2019 conservative management election.   Reported to be main the ‘Save Boris’ marketing campaign inside Parliament.

Quince, Will [Actively backing the PM]
Junior schooling minister who backed Jeremy Hunt within the 2019 conservative management election.  Would lose his Colchester seat to Labour if a basic election was held in the present day primarily based on present opinion polls.  Reported in his native  Essex County Customary press as having welcomed the PMs apology and given him his backing.

Raab, Dominic [Publicly backing the PM]
Deputy prime minister, who has been busy defending his boss on radio and TV within the final month.   Stays publicly supportive of the PM, saying, “I’m positive he’ll proceed for a few years to come back”.  The identical might not although, essentially be true for Mr Raab.  Based mostly on present polling over the previous few months, he would comfortably lose his now marginal Esher seat to the Liberal Democrats in a basic election.

Redwood, John [Actively backing the PM]
Veteran MP and one time stalking horse himself in opposition to John Main again within the Nineteen Nineties.  The end in his Wokingham seat between the Conservatives and Lib Dems could be on a knife edge at present ranges of polling. He not too long ago referred to as on the PM to get on the entrance foot with an agenda of low taxes and issues that take you on the ‘ladder of alternative’, saying within the Day by day Categorical, “These of us who assist you, and that’s nonetheless most of us, need you to do nicely, however we wish you to get on with this”.

Rees Mogg, Jacob [Publicly backing the PM]
New minister for Brexit alternatives, former chief of the Home of Commons and Boris loyalist.   Just lately counseled that, ‘I feel the Prime minister has received issues proper repeatedly’.

Richards, Nicola [Publicly backing the PM]
Younger Crimson Wall MP, who has a majority of simply 1,593 in West Bromwich East.  Has expressed her assist for the PM and made it clear she was not amongst these MPs elected in 2019 that have been contemplating a riot.  She instructed the native Categorical and Star that, “The PM helped win us seats like mine, he received Brexit performed and has pulled us via the pandemic”.

Rosindell, Andrew [Publicly backing the PM]
Positioned on the appropriate of the Conservative occasion, and backed Boris within the 2019 management election.  Just lately instructed Sky Information that individuals ought to transfer on from discussing backyard events and cake, arguing, “Are we going to tug one other prime minister out of workplace over one thing like that?”. He then added, “Plenty of individuals break the regulation in small methods, generally unintentionally … He’s not robbed a financial institution – that is getting uncontrolled.”

Sharma, Alok  [Publicly backing the PM]
Cupboard minister, who backed Boris within the 2019 management election.  Has mentioned the PM was ‘proper to apologise’.  Would comfortably lose his Studying West seat to Labour underneath present polling.

Scully, Paul [Publicly backing the PM]
Brexiter enterprise minister who has defended Boris on the airwaves, usually via some difficult interviews.   Lead to his Sutton and Cheam seat could be on a knife edge with the Lib Dems on the present ranges of polling.

Shapps, Grant [Publicly backing the PM]
Transport secretary who has been lively defending the PM on the airwaves within the final month. The end in his Welwyn Hatfield constituency could be on an absolute knife edge at this degree of polling.

Smith, Chloe [Publicly backing the PM]
Junior minister, who supported Johnson within the 2019 management election.  In an announcement on her web site she has mentioned, “The prime minister continues to have my assist”. Reaffirmed this assist on Twitter after the police issued their fines. Would comfortably lose her Norwich North seat to Labour primarily based on the present ranges of Conservative polling.

Spencer, Mark [Publicly backing the PM]
Former authorities chief whip and now chief of the Home of Commons.  Johnson ally.

Stafford, Alexander [Publicly backing the PM]
Brexiter and Crimson Wall MP elected in 2019. Would comfortably lose his Rother Valley seat to Labour primarily based on the present ranges of Conservative polling. Has publicly mentioned that Keir Starmer must be investigated for ingesting beer in a earlier lockdown saying, “These in glass homes shouldn’t throw beer bottles”. He has additionally tweeted in assist of the PM saying, “On Monday the prime minister promised to radically reform how quantity 10 operates. It’s clear that in the present day he’s protecting his phrase by having a wholesale clear-out, to create a greater extra dynamic operation.”

Stewart, Bob [Publicly backing the PM]
Former excessive profile military Colonel who has been the MP for Beckenham since 2010.  Backed Boris within the 2019 conservative management election.  Has mentioned he ‘abhors’ the lockdown parities however instructed LBC that he’ll stay loyal to Boris including if anybody ‘can flip a state of affairs round, he can, and he’s proved that previously’.

Stuart, Graham [Publicly backing the PM]
Left the federal government in 2021 after three years as a junior minister.  Supported Johnson within the 2019 conservative management election. Has been seen to retweet messages from different MPs that backed the PM.  On 31st Jan wrote, “Boris was elected to do a job. He should be allowed to get on with it.”

Sunak, Rishi [Publicly backing the PM]
Chancellor of the Exchequer, and earlier than his personal police positive, beforehand thought-about the individual more than likely to take over if Boris departs.  Publicly acknowledged his whole assist for the prime minister. Nonetheless he has taken a ‘large hit’ not too long ago in reputation, and his political fortunes now seem extra carefully tied to that of the prime minister.

Tolhurst, Kelly [Probable supporter]
Junior minister who backed Boris within the 2019 management election.  Resigned from the federal government for private causes in 2021, however was praised by the PM as a ‘good minister’. On the day the PM obtained a set penalty discover, Ms Tolhurst tweeted that the PM ‘had made modifications accordingly in No.10’ and that this was not the time to ‘change our chief’.

Tomlinson, Justin [Publicly backing the PM]
Deputy chairman of the Conservative occasion.  Backed Boris within the 2019 management contest.  Has praised the PM’s proper calls on all the large judgements within the pandemic and has mentioned, ‘We have to transfer on’.

Trevelyan, Anne-Marie [Publicly backing the PM]
Cupboard minister from Northumberland who has supported the PM on the airwaves.  Backed Boris within the 2019 management contest.  Johnson ally.

Truss, Liz [Publicly backing the PM]
Overseas secretary who has been promoted by Johnson, and has been publicly backing her boss on the airwaves.   Has tweeted that, “I stand behind the Prime minister, 100% as he takes our nation ahead”. Touted by some as a possible successor if Johnson resigns.

Vara, Shailesh [Publicly backing the PM]
Resigned from the Theresa Could authorities over Brexit.  Backed Boris within the 2019 management election. After the Grey report, instructed his native Peterborough Information, that, “There isn’t a emptiness and each prime minister and I recognise that there are different points that have an effect on North-West Cambridgeshire and the remainder of this nation.”

Warman, Matt [Probable supporter]
Former Day by day Telegraph journalist who backed Boris within the 2019 management election.  Left the federal government in 2021. Following the Grey report, instructed Lincolnshire dwell, that, “I welcome the prime minister’s heartfelt, honest apology and look ahead to the federal government doing what it was elected to do and getting on with delivering on the individuals’s priorities.” On the day the PM obtained a positive for his birthday gathering, Warman appeared on Radio 4 to supply him his assist.

Wallace, Ben [Publicly backing the PM]
Defence Secretary. Publicly backing the PM and has defended him on the airwaves.  Backed Johnson within the 2019 contest, and regarded a very long time ally of Boris.

Wheeler, Heather [Publicly backing the PM]
Supported Boris within the 2019 management contest. Reported in Derbyshire Reside saying, “The Prime minister has my assist” and that she abhorred this “whipped up marketing campaign in opposition to him.”  Unsurprisingly was thus promoted within the newest February 2022 reshuffle to turn out to be parliamentary secretary within the Cupboard workplace.

Whittingdale, John [Publicly backing the PM]
Veteran MP and former cupboard minister who left an additional stint in authorities in 2021.  Backed Boris within the 2019 management election.  While saying that he understands the anger of his constituents, he’s quoted in his native Braintree and Witham Instances as saying he does have faith within the PM, including, “He has performed many issues that he got down to do very efficiently and his Authorities deserves credit score for delivering Brexit, rolling out probably the most profitable vaccine programme on the planet and supporting the UK financial system to turn out to be the quickest rising within the G7”.  The Prime minister’s spouse, Carrie, additionally beforehand labored for Mr Whittingdale for 15 months.

Williams, Craig [Publicly backing the PM]
Elected in 2019 for a comparatively protected seat in rural Wales.  Issued an announcement on partygate by which he mentioned, “I welcome the total apology from the prime minister and extra importantly his dedication to fixing the system by which Quantity 10 is managed”.  He added, “I share within the deep frustrations felt by many, and I recognise that a lot must be performed by Quantity 10 to rebuild belief with the general public. It is a first step in the appropriate route”. On the day Boris obtained a police positive, he tweeted that he ‘would

Younger, Jacob [Actively backing the PM]
Crimson Wall MP elected for Redcar in 2019.  Would comfortably lose his seat to Labour in any election that mirrored at present opinion ballot ranges. He stays a Boris loyalist although, having instructed Teeside Reside that, “The prime minister has apologised unreservedly, has outlined how he’ll act, and I imagine now’s the time to maneuver on”.

Zahawi, Nadhim [Actively backing the PM]
Schooling Secretary.  Publicly backing the PM, and has defended him on the airwaves.

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MPs not eligible to vote

The next three MPs have been elected as Conservatives within the 2019 Common election, however have since misplaced the Conservative occasion whip at Westminster.  They’re thus not eligible to vote in any management election:

Imran Ahmad Khan [Can’t vote]
Elected because the Conservative MP for Wakefield in 2019, however misplaced the whip at Westminster in 2021, forward of a pending court docket case. Having since been convicted, he has been expelled from the Conservative occasion.

Rob Roberts [Can’t vote]
Elected because the Conservative MP for Delyn in North Wales in 2019, however was suspended from the Commons for six weeks in 2021.  He was readmitted to the Conservative occasion in late 2021, however doesn’t but have the Conservative whip.  He sits as an Unbiased at Westminster.

Warburton, David [Can’t vote]
Ring tone entrepreneur who represents Somerton and Frome.  He was suspended from the parliamentary occasion following a collection of newspaper revelations in March 2022. With out the conservative whip, he won’t be able to vote in any management content material. He supported Boris within the 2019 conservative management election, however ought to he have been capable of vote, it was not clear that it will have supported the PM. He detailed on Twitter how his father died virtually fully alone in the course of the first lockdown, how this was adopted by simply ‘3 of us’ having the ability to attend an outdoor burial that handed for his funeral, and the way all this was per week earlier than the primary reported Downing Road occasion.  Persevering with he mentioned that ‘to grasp the misery these revelations have prompted is an understatement’, including, “Like thousands and thousands of others, I need to know the total extent of this troubling interpretation of the principles.  And what’s to be performed.”

Morris, Anne Marie [Can’t vote]
A very good place to finish this piece. First elected because the Conservative MP for Newton Abbot in Devon again in 2010.   She was a Brexiter who as soon as submitted a letter of no confidence in Theresa Could.  In early 2022, she was one of many first to have confirmed that she had performed the identical to Boris Johnson. Nonetheless within the Commons, she has since voted for a Labour movement calling for a VAT reduce on vitality payments.   In January, this led to her being stripped of the Conservative whip.  As such, she can not now vote in any management election, and her letter of no confidence is, nicely, void……

Along with the above, Christian Wakeford MP has since crossed the ground of the Home of Commons and joined the Labour Get together.

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How these numbers have been compiled

It has lengthy been recommended that the parliamentary Conservative occasion is one probably the most secretive and laborious to learn electorates on the planet.  Past their ranks, there’s a appreciable public craving to attempt to perceive what’s the present place of the prime minister. Not least, as a result of this citizens has proven previously, that it wants no classes in ruthlessness.

Till dialogue round Johnson’s management both reaches a proper conclusion, or drops off the mainstream information agenda, we are going to make ongoing updates to this web page.

We settle for that any evaluation of this nature is a problematic activity.  This will likely clarify why no such equal or detailed evaluation seems publicly out there. Though our evaluation is drawn primarily from the general public feedback and actions of the MPs involved, we settle for that it’s not possible to depend on that as a idiot proof information.

There are more likely to be formidable MPs (notably present ministers, and MPs from the 2019 consumption) who’re important of the PM, however who, for causes of profession development, are cautious about letting that be recognized.  On the similar time, there could also be others who’re privately supportive of the prime minister, however who stay cautious to not say so publicly, probably thereby incurring extra wrath proper now from their constituents.

***Politics.co.uk notice – Ought to any Conservative MP studying this, not be proud of our present evaluation of their place, they’re after all welcome to contact us.***