Who Wins — and Who Loses — Based on Rubio's Surprise Announcement

Marco Rubio has just announced that he will stay on the campaign trail whether he wins or loses in Florida. It had been widely expected that, if he loses in Florida as the polls currently predict, he would drop out of the race.

Marco_Rubio_Donald_Trump_Ted_Cruz.jpg

This has an enormous impact on two people — Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. For all appearances, who wins as a result? It is likely to be Donald Trump. And who loses? It could be Ted Cruz. Here is why this could be the impact:

  • If Rubio stays in, Donald Trump could continue to win states with 40% of the vote. A common pattern so far has been Trump gets about 40%; Cruz 30%; Rubio 20%; and Kasich 10%. So Donald could continue to win states with most people opposing him.
  • If Rubio and Kasich dropped out, Cruz would get what he wants — a one on one contest with Trump. If most of Rubio's and Kasich's supporters went to Cruz, he would start winning more and more states.
  • If Rubio staying in encourages Kasich to stay in, then Donald has divided opposition who may continue fighting amongst themselves, instead of just one opponent fighting him.

All in all, if Rubio follows through on his announcement, it could be a very good day for Donald Trump.

North Korea Says That It’s Ready to Mass Produce a New Medium-Range Missile That Can Hit Japan and The US
/north_korea_says_that_it_s_ready_to_mass_produce_a_new_medium_range_missile_that_can_hit_japan_and_the_us
President Donald J. Trump: ‘Fixing What Obama Ruined’
/president_donald_j_trump_fixing_what_obama_ruined
Fox News Host Fired Over Racist Comment
/fox_news_host_fired_over_racist_comment
After Pleading Guilty in Court, Anthony Weiner Hit with More Bad News
/after_pleading_guilty_in_court_anthony_weiner_hit_with_more_bad_news
Mark Dice: Here’s Maxine Waters Telling the World Exactly How Russia Helped Trump Win
/mark_dice_here_s_maxine_waters_telling_the_world_exactly_how_russia_helped_trump_win
Weeping Anthony Weiner Pleads Guilty in Court
/weeping_anthony_weiner_pleads_guilty_in_court
Pence Speaks at US Chamber of Commerce-sponsored Conference, Delivers Surprising Message
/pence_speaks_at_us_chamber_of_commerce_sponsored_conference_delivers_surprising_message
Mark Dice: Watch Comey Defend Trump, Crush Liberals’ Spirits
/mark_dice_watch_comey_defend_trump_crush_liberals_spirits
U.S. Launches Airstrike on Syria, Drops Explosives on Forces
/u_s_launches_airstrike_on_syria_drops_explosives_on_forces
One of the Most Influential Men in America Dies at 77
/one_of_the_most_influential_men_in_america_dies_at_77