Now that the Wisconsin primary is over and the dust has settled on the campaign trail, we take a look at just what is needed for each candidate to win the Republican nomination ahead of the convention.
For John Kasich it is not possible. He failed to win a single delegate in Wisconsin and still has less delegates than Marco Rubio who is no longer in the case. Kasich only has 143 delegates. There are 882 delegates remaining. Winning 100% of the remaining delegates would give him only 1,025 delegates, far short of the 1,237 needed to win. Kasich’s only prayer is that the race goes to the convention and a miracle happens where the top two front-runners are rejected.
Ted Cruz had a major victory in Wisconsin and showed that the tide may be turning in his favor. But it may be too late. He currently has 517 delegates. He needs 720 of the remaining delegates to win the nomination outright. While it is statistically possible, the chances are very slim. Trump is expected to perform very well in New York and the upcoming east coast states.
Despite a poor performance in Wisconsin, Donald Trump currently has 743 delegates. That is 226 more than Cruz and a massive 600 delegate lead over Kasich.
Trump is the only candidate that has a realistic chance of winning the Republican nomination before the convention. He only needs 494 out of the remaining 882 delegates to wrap up the nomination.