An interesting new poll shows that millennials "could be a critical swing vote in races across the country" this midterm election.
At the beginning of October, the Harvard Institute of Politics polled 2,000 young voters, ages 18 to 29, and found that Democrats have "lost ground" with this age group as compared to past election cycles.
According to a recent RollCall.com article, the 2014 polls shows that 51% of millenials considered most likely to vote in the 2014 elections would like to see a Republican Congress -- this is 4 points higher than those who would prefer Democrats rule the U.S. Senate. The major change is the 16 point jump in Republican favor from a similar poll in 2010; at that point young people preferred the Democratic party by 12%.
There was, however, no significant change found in political persuasion in racial groups and no meaningful gender gap. Young black voters continue to support President Obama at a 78% approval rating, while young white voters had a significantly smaller approval rating toward the president. Generally speaking, young white voters preferred Republicans in Congress, while young black and hispanic voters preferred Democrats, according to RollCall.com.
As far as ISIS and fear of terrorism goes, 61% of the millennials polled think national security issues are a big deal or are "somewhat" worried about terrorist attacks. Approval of increased strikes abroad are at 39%, with 20% disapproving.
But what does all this mean for tomorrow's elections?
“A lesson here, for us, is that young people, millennials, are no longer the political outliers that they once were,” said John Della Volpe, the Harvard Institute of Politics polling director, to RollCall.com. “In contrast to where we were four years ago, the youth vote is very much up for grabs politically.”
Harvard IOP director told RollCall.com: “The message is clear: Ignore millennial voters at your peril.”
Turnout for millennials at this election is expected to be about the same as in 2010.
Why do you think millennials are skewing more conservative? Share your thoughts in the comments below.